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Tuesday, 17 May 11
DRY BULK MARKET ENTERS WEEK ON WEAK MODE - HELLENIC SHIPPING


In yet another sign of softening freight rates for dry bulk carriers and oversupply issues, the dry bulk market entered this week on a downward path. The industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) fell by 1.15% on the day to end down to 1,291 points. The main losses were attributed to the panamax segment, with the relative index falloing by 2.62%. The Capesize market was also down by 1.27% on the day.

According to the latest dry bulk weekly report from shipbroker Barry Rogliano Salles, it was another slow decline in the bulk markets this week, with the BCI losing the most at nearly 5%, the BPI 2.8% and the smaller sizes sub-1% amounts. The latter may see a drop in activity in the coming weeks due to the Mississippi floods which are reported to be affecting current barge traffic.

In the coal market, the newly active US coal export market warned future growth could be constrained by infrastructural limitations. The US coal industry logged exports of around 25m tonnes in the first quarter of 2011 but Xcoal Energy chief executive Ernie Thrasher said producers would be unable to export more with the current east coast terminal capacity. US coal exports have provided significant new tonne-miles for the dry bulk market as coal supplies have become tight, but it appears they will be capped at around 100m tonnes per year due to the current infrastructure.

Commenting on the Capesize market, it mentioned that “although the drift is not significant, the Capesize recorded another week-on-week decline this week. The four time charter average finished at US$6,002, a drop of US$775 from the previous Friday, with the largest declines logged Aus-China, and Braz-China not far behind. There was a flurry of activity by the Australian mining groups, but there was ample tonnage to meet the demand and rates did not improve. The bearish sentiment was also evident in the FFA market with the Q3 contract losing 12% w-o-w to finish last week at US$9,036 and Cal 12 10% w-o-w. Monday was another typical day with the BCI sliding 19 points, with no signs of a severe drop but none of a major improvement either” said the shipbroker.

On the panamax front: “the BPI slipped by US$400 week-on-week. The Atlantic remained stable thanks to a good balance between cargoes and ships; even spot vessels managed to fix at good levels at close to US$14,500/day on the TA round. Out of ECSA, the market eased throughout the week and the fronthaul lost US$1,000 to close at US$22,500/day. Indian exports eased too and the Panamax rate Goa-China was close to US$13 pmt, down US$2 pmt from the previous week.

The Nopac and Far East markets were quiet and by the end of the week the number of vessels had started to increase, pushing the NOPAC round closer to just US$12,000/day. Friday to Friday, the period market interest vanished and very few vessels were reported fixed – the market for a Tess 74 BPI type was in the low-mid US$14,000s/ day, a US$2,000 drop from a week ago” said the report.

As for the Supra and Handy markets, they “witnessed a steady flow of activity last week with barely 5 points difference between Monday and Friday for the Supras and just 1 point for the Handies. We saw a slight drop in the Supras in the Far East, which appeared to be linked to the drop in paper values. India –China voyages went for about US$14,500 even though some owners tried to resist and rated ships at US$16,500 for the same routes. Indo – India went for an average of about US$17,500/day.

We still saw strong numbers such as US$30,000 from the US Gulf to the Far East. The market anticipated an immediate impact from the floods in the Mississippi but this was not the case. Continent-Med trips went for about US$18,000 while ECSA-Cont went for US$28,000. The Med was nearly dormant for the Supras. Out of the Black Sea we started to see some Corn cargoes for the first time since May last year. The rates are still not the best as a few Handies were fixed at about US$6,000 for trips Black Sea-Cont and about US$9,000 Med-Cont. Handies went for an average of about US$20,000 for US Gulf–Cont voyages and about US$22,000 for Cont –Far East trips.

On the period front, we noticed many ships who were willing to go for short period but not many takers. Supras went for about US$14,000 for 4-6 months delivery east Med redel Atlantic and another at US$15,000 same 4-6 months redel Atlantic. A Handy went for US$13,000 for 1 year period redel worldwide” concluded BRS.
Source - Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping



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