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Tuesday, 05 April 11
DRY BULK MARKET DOWN ON FIRST DAY OF SECOND QUARTER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING


The dry bulk market began the second quarter on a downward pattern, with the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) shedding 1.45 percent and ending the session down to 1,498 points, or about half of where it stood a year back.

The biggest losses were recorded in the panamax front, which lost 1.87%, while the Capesize market was also down by 0.73 percent. Last week, the BDI closed at 1,520 points, with Capesize still earning just $10,554/day, while the smaller in size Panamax ship types were averaging a substantilly higher $15,463 on a daily basis. The even smaller Supramaxes have proven more resilient, earning their owners a daily average of $15,795.

According to the latest weekly report from BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles), there was a general slide in rates this week, with the Panamax and Supramax markets affected by a slowdown in South American grain exports. Meanwhile the previous week’s re-appearance of Japan in the market did not have much of an impact this week and the Cape market came off slightly. In the iron ore market, China’s efforts to control more of the ore trade are starting to take effect with the China Mining Association claiming the country will manage 200m tons in overseas ore by 2014, up from 110m tons this year. The Association also predicted domestic iron ore production will grow between 6% and 8% this year, up from 1.07bn tons of iron ore in 2010 (itself a near 22% increase on 2009). Confirming the trend to extend its reach overseas, this week Wuhan Steel confirmed it would begin mining ore at its Liberian Bong mine in 2012. Initial capacity will launch at 1m tons/year, though the company has plans to expand it to 10m tons/year.

“Activity levels were relatively high in the Cape market this week, but again the sheer number of vessels available for hire kept rates at the same level. We have now seen 80 Capesizes of 13.5m dwt (ships >83,000 dwt) delivered in the first three months of 2011, compared to 60 vessels of 10.9m dwt in the equivalent period in 2010. Friday-to-Friday the BCI fell 13 points to 1792, while the four time charter average finished the week at US$10,554. In the period market, levels  also remained stable, with an 180,000 tonner fixed at US$16,000 per day for 11-13 months trading, delivery ex yard in China” said the report from the Paris-based shipbroker.

As for the Panamax markets, the Far East area was quiet and the few spot coal cargoes out of Indo and Australia were mainly fixed under contract. In the Indian Ocean, iron ore exports slowed down too and Panamax tonnage was fixed from WCI to China at US$15 pmt, down from US$16 pmt a week ago. This weaker market pushed many ships to ballast into the ECSA basin, pushing down this market and the TA round lost more than US$1,000 to close at around US$15,000 per day. We noted however that some quick TA rounds were fixed at well below those levels. The short period market logically eased too by more than US$1,000, and BPI index vessels are now getting between US$15,000 and US$16,000/day.
In terms of S&P activity, the week ended with 27 sales reported in the secondhand and demolition market posting a 42.5% negative w-o-w change with buying sentiment being centered again both on bulkcarriers and tankers said a separate report from Golden Destiny. The highest activity has been recorded in the secondhand market, while the newbuilding market these last two weeks remains on low levels.

“In the secondhand market, 20 vessels reported to have changed hands this week equalling a total amount of money invested in the region of US$ 280,95 million, however six of the reported deals were at undisclosed prices. In terms of reported number of transactions, the S&P activity has been marked with a 20% negative w-o-w change, while is down by 37.5% comparable with previous year’s weekly S&P activity when 32 vessels induced buyers’ interest with bulk carriers again grasping 31.25% share of the total volume of S&P activity. In terms of invested capital, the tanker sector continues to appears to be the most overweight representing almost 80% of the total invested capital this week.

In the demolition market, it was a quiet week with just 7 vessels reported to have been headed to the scrap yards of total deadweight 261,467 tons. In terms of reported number of transactions, the Demolition activity has been marked with a 68 % negative w-o-w change, while in terms of deadweight the weekly negative change was around 40%. In terms of scrap rates, the highest scrap rate has been achieved this week by India for a general cargo vessel that seems to obtained $ 483/ldt, with Bangladesh being again out of the market since the situation still remains uncertain.

The Greek presence this week was noticeable both in the secondhand and the newbuilding sector. In the secondhand market 2 transactions appeared in the frontline, one in the Capesize sector and one in the VLCC sector, both from well-known players of the industry, while in the newbuilding sector the investments were centred in the bulkcarrier, gas tanker and once again container sector. The total invested capital remains unknown since no prices have been
revealed for the majority of the transactions” concluded Golden Destiny’s report.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping



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