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Monday, 07 February 11
COAL PRICES ON RISE: DEMAND FROM INDIA AND CHINA - ANALYZED SUNIL K KUMBHAT
INDONESIA IS HEART OF ASIAN COAL BOOM
COALspot.com - Rising demand of Coal from India and China, coupled with global financial recovery, is driving thermal coal prices that have appreciated in the recent past few months and it is expected that the global prices of Coal shall remain firm and go up further.
Power generation is what is driving the demand of Coal in India and China . In India new coal-fired power plants, ranging in the size from 50 MW to 4,000 MW, are being built throughout India. Power plants are symbol of how rapidly India's economy is expanding.
Similarly China, shall remain a net importer of thermal coal for coming few years as it's economy is growing at firm speed and is expected to deliver mind-boggling growth in 2011. China's coal imports more than doubled to 150 million tonnes from the previous year. Closure of smaller mines, coupled with increased demand from power sector, has triggered China's demand for imported coal.
India has also emerged as one of the major importer of coal. The imports are likely to be around 100-150 million tonnes for the current year as it adds new thermal capacities. India imports about three-fourths of its coal requirement from Indonesia, while South Africa and Australia accounts for the rest.
The quality of Indonesian coal is much better than Indian coal. The gross calorific value of Indonesian coal ranges between 5,000 and 6,500 kilo calories per kilogram (kcl/kg); while for Indian coal it is only 3,000-4,500 kcl/kg- with high ash contents. Bulk of the imported coal in India is used by power companies, which use it to blend with the local coal to improve calorific value. The coal prices also depend upon the ash content and the calorific value .Indonesia’s strategic geographic location makes it the most preferred country for Indian companies for its proximity to the country, which means lower ocean freight charges and better timing compared to other countries such as Australia.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
The higher energy demand in India would drive up import of coal .The overall energy generated in India could double within a decade.
Indian power sector will be heavily depend on coal for decades to come. At the same time, India's steel industry, also dependent on coal, is expected to treble its output within a decade.
But there is growing concern about where all the coal is going to come from. India has significant coal reserves suitable for power generation and boasts the world's biggest coal company - the government-owned Coal India Limited. But the expansion of the Indian economy has been so rapid, demand is outstripping domestic supply.
The government wants the economy to expand at 9-10 per cent a year to help lift millions of poor families out of poverty. But an energy supply crunch could compromise that growth target.
India has theoretically significant reserves but it will take a long time to get into actual production, There is a urgent need to re-examine the regulations and policies associated with exploration, exploitation and production. India is still not fully encouraging commercial coal mining by the private sector.
India's coal reserves are concentrated in the eastern states of Orissa, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal and Madhya Pradesh, where basic logistics infrastructure (such as ports and railways) is lacking. Various government regulation concerning forestry and environmental restrictions are also hindering mine development. Unless such bottlenecks are addressed, growth in domestic coal production could be difficult.'
Due to government regulatory delays, infrastructure bottlenecks and security risks are encouraging Indian firms to look overseas to secure coal supply especially in Indonesia, South Africa, Mozambique, Australia etc. for their ambitious power projects in India.
Indonesia's thermal coal mines have a comparative advantage over Australia's because they are nearer to India but Australia's reputation as a reliable supplier is attractive to Indian buyers.’ Australian mines might be more expensive but they are reliable. Australia’s advantages are that the coal is good and the infrastructure is good'
In spit of all , Australia will face stiff competition from Indonesia - which has lower transport costs. A significant proportion of coal transport in Indonesia is water based, which allows for coal to be transported along rivers via barges to the open sea for loading onto larger vessels. Indonesia’s coal suppliers rely heavily on floating transhipment facilities due to economic reasons.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
Indonesia’s government needs to accelerate reforms for foreign direct investment (FDI) in mining and energy sector to give direct control to foreign investors, in order to win confidence and attract/invite major international companies into Indonesia. There is need of more coordination between Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Deptt , Indonesian Investment Co-ordination Board (BKPM) ,and Various Regional administrations.
The phenomenal growth in Indonesia’s coal exports in last five years reflects the ability of its coal industry to respond to the rapid growth in Asian demand for thermal coal.
Indonesia has huge coal reserves and exporting coal to many countries for use in power plants for generating energy but it is paradoxical that Indonesia is short of energy. Many Indian companies (Tata , Reliance,Jindal ,L&T, Monnet, Adani ,Essar etc) are capable of sharing power technology and setting up mega power plants in Indonesia
Indonesian private companies can buy equity stakes in Indian power plants in exchange / barter for long-term coal supply. Since India is today one of the fastest growing economies and also has a shortage of power supply then such deals can be beneficial to both parties .Indonesian government or Indonesian companies can invite Coal barter bids (CBB) ,where from foreign companies for development of ports , Roads , Railway lines , Power Plants etc. In Coal barter bids , coal will be supplied to party who will set up Power plants or develop infrastructure etc. Coal mining in Indonesia can be an extremely lucrative sector for overall economic growth. Indonesian government should make single window clearance system to operate business in Indonesia to encourage foreign enterprises and Investment for Coal barter bids. Indonesian Coal companies are fully aware that India is a market into which they can export or thru barter transactions, its major share of Coal Production.
Today Indonesia has stable economic outlook and if reform efforts towards basic infrastructures continues it may become Economic Tiger of Asia by 2020.
Today Indonesia is the heart of the Asian Coal boom.
Analyst - Sunil K Kumbhat , Jodhpur (Rajasthan), India
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Friday, 07 January 11
DRY BULK MARKET ON A FREEFALL, AS THE NEW YEAR EARLY DAYS DONT BRING MANY CHEERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market is facing its worst slump in more than two years, falling by 4.75% yesterday to reach 1,544 points, on top of an additional 4.2% ...
Thursday, 06 January 11
OVERSEAS & GENERAL SIGNS AGREEMENT TO EXPAND FOOTPRINT ON COAL LEASE IN INDONESIA - PROACTIVE INVESTORS
Proactive Investors reported that, Overseas & General (ASX: OGL) has entered into a joint operating agreement on the Jambi Coal Lease in Sumatra ...
Thursday, 06 January 11
BANPU EXPECTS ROSY 2011 AS COAL PRICES SKYROCKET - BANGKOK POST
Bangkok Post reported that, Banpu Plc, Asean's largest coal miner, expects minimal impact from the production stoppage at its Daning mine in China ...
Thursday, 06 January 11
COKING COAL CONTRACT PRICE MAY RISE 33% ON AUSTRALIAN FLOODS - BLOOMBERG
Bloomberg reported that, Steelmakers in Asia may be forced to pay as much as 33 percent more for hard coking coal after the worst floods in 50 years ...
Wednesday, 05 January 11
HIGHER COAL PRICES LIFT UP COAL STOCKS
Thermal coal price this month has gone up 5.63% to US$127.70 per ton today from mid last month at US$120.89 per ton.
Thermal coal price for next ...
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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