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Monday, 07 February 11
COAL PRICES ON RISE: DEMAND FROM INDIA AND CHINA - ANALYZED SUNIL K KUMBHAT
INDONESIA IS HEART OF ASIAN COAL BOOM
COALspot.com - Rising demand of Coal from India and China, coupled with global financial recovery, is driving thermal coal prices that have appreciated in the recent past few months and it is expected that the global prices of Coal shall remain firm and go up further.
Power generation is what is driving the demand of Coal in India and China . In India new coal-fired power plants, ranging in the size from 50 MW to 4,000 MW, are being built throughout India. Power plants are symbol of how rapidly India's economy is expanding.
Similarly China, shall remain a net importer of thermal coal for coming few years as it's economy is growing at firm speed and is expected to deliver mind-boggling growth in 2011. China's coal imports more than doubled to 150 million tonnes from the previous year. Closure of smaller mines, coupled with increased demand from power sector, has triggered China's demand for imported coal.
India has also emerged as one of the major importer of coal. The imports are likely to be around 100-150 million tonnes for the current year as it adds new thermal capacities. India imports about three-fourths of its coal requirement from Indonesia, while South Africa and Australia accounts for the rest.
The quality of Indonesian coal is much better than Indian coal. The gross calorific value of Indonesian coal ranges between 5,000 and 6,500 kilo calories per kilogram (kcl/kg); while for Indian coal it is only 3,000-4,500 kcl/kg- with high ash contents. Bulk of the imported coal in India is used by power companies, which use it to blend with the local coal to improve calorific value. The coal prices also depend upon the ash content and the calorific value .Indonesia’s strategic geographic location makes it the most preferred country for Indian companies for its proximity to the country, which means lower ocean freight charges and better timing compared to other countries such as Australia.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
The higher energy demand in India would drive up import of coal .The overall energy generated in India could double within a decade.
Indian power sector will be heavily depend on coal for decades to come. At the same time, India's steel industry, also dependent on coal, is expected to treble its output within a decade.
But there is growing concern about where all the coal is going to come from. India has significant coal reserves suitable for power generation and boasts the world's biggest coal company - the government-owned Coal India Limited. But the expansion of the Indian economy has been so rapid, demand is outstripping domestic supply.
The government wants the economy to expand at 9-10 per cent a year to help lift millions of poor families out of poverty. But an energy supply crunch could compromise that growth target.
India has theoretically significant reserves but it will take a long time to get into actual production, There is a urgent need to re-examine the regulations and policies associated with exploration, exploitation and production. India is still not fully encouraging commercial coal mining by the private sector.
India's coal reserves are concentrated in the eastern states of Orissa, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal and Madhya Pradesh, where basic logistics infrastructure (such as ports and railways) is lacking. Various government regulation concerning forestry and environmental restrictions are also hindering mine development. Unless such bottlenecks are addressed, growth in domestic coal production could be difficult.'
Due to government regulatory delays, infrastructure bottlenecks and security risks are encouraging Indian firms to look overseas to secure coal supply especially in Indonesia, South Africa, Mozambique, Australia etc. for their ambitious power projects in India.
Indonesia's thermal coal mines have a comparative advantage over Australia's because they are nearer to India but Australia's reputation as a reliable supplier is attractive to Indian buyers.’ Australian mines might be more expensive but they are reliable. Australia’s advantages are that the coal is good and the infrastructure is good'
In spit of all , Australia will face stiff competition from Indonesia - which has lower transport costs. A significant proportion of coal transport in Indonesia is water based, which allows for coal to be transported along rivers via barges to the open sea for loading onto larger vessels. Indonesia’s coal suppliers rely heavily on floating transhipment facilities due to economic reasons.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
Indonesia’s government needs to accelerate reforms for foreign direct investment (FDI) in mining and energy sector to give direct control to foreign investors, in order to win confidence and attract/invite major international companies into Indonesia. There is need of more coordination between Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Deptt , Indonesian Investment Co-ordination Board (BKPM) ,and Various Regional administrations.
The phenomenal growth in Indonesia’s coal exports in last five years reflects the ability of its coal industry to respond to the rapid growth in Asian demand for thermal coal.
Indonesia has huge coal reserves and exporting coal to many countries for use in power plants for generating energy but it is paradoxical that Indonesia is short of energy. Many Indian companies (Tata , Reliance,Jindal ,L&T, Monnet, Adani ,Essar etc) are capable of sharing power technology and setting up mega power plants in Indonesia
Indonesian private companies can buy equity stakes in Indian power plants in exchange / barter for long-term coal supply. Since India is today one of the fastest growing economies and also has a shortage of power supply then such deals can be beneficial to both parties .Indonesian government or Indonesian companies can invite Coal barter bids (CBB) ,where from foreign companies for development of ports , Roads , Railway lines , Power Plants etc. In Coal barter bids , coal will be supplied to party who will set up Power plants or develop infrastructure etc. Coal mining in Indonesia can be an extremely lucrative sector for overall economic growth. Indonesian government should make single window clearance system to operate business in Indonesia to encourage foreign enterprises and Investment for Coal barter bids. Indonesian Coal companies are fully aware that India is a market into which they can export or thru barter transactions, its major share of Coal Production.
Today Indonesia has stable economic outlook and if reform efforts towards basic infrastructures continues it may become Economic Tiger of Asia by 2020.
Today Indonesia is the heart of the Asian Coal boom.
Analyst - Sunil K Kumbhat , Jodhpur (Rajasthan), India
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Wednesday, 02 February 11
HUGE TONNAGE OVERSUPPLY LOOMING FOR DRY BULK MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the dry bulk market taking another dive yesterday, to just over 1,000 points (1,084), losing more than 2% on the day, it’s more than obvi ...
Monday, 31 January 11
S. SUMATRA COAL RAILWAY TO BE COMPLETED ON SCHEDULE - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, despite land acquisition problems, state coal mining company PT Bukit Asam is upbeat that the development of a railw ...
Monday, 31 January 11
COAL MINER PTBA TO DRIVE OUTPUT WITH ACQUISITIONS - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, State coal company Perusahaan Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam said its output would increase 34 percent to 17.6 million ...
Saturday, 29 January 11
PRESSURE ON SHIPPING MARKET MAY CONTINUE UNTIL MID FEBRUARY 2011
COALspot.com - The BDI continues to drop and saw a drop of about 5 pct this week closing at 1370 points.
In May 2010 the BDI touched 4,209 ...
Saturday, 29 January 11
ANTAM ACQUIRES SAROLANGUN COAL MINING
According to Insider Stories, Nickel and gold miner PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (Antam) of Indonesia via its subsidiary PT Indonesia Coal Resources (ICR) h ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The University of Queensland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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