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Monday, 07 February 11
COAL PRICES ON RISE: DEMAND FROM INDIA AND CHINA - ANALYZED SUNIL K KUMBHAT
INDONESIA IS HEART OF ASIAN COAL BOOM
COALspot.com - Rising demand of Coal from India and China, coupled with global financial recovery, is driving thermal coal prices that have appreciated in the recent past few months and it is expected that the global prices of Coal shall remain firm and go up further.
Power generation is what is driving the demand of Coal in India and China . In India new coal-fired power plants, ranging in the size from 50 MW to 4,000 MW, are being built throughout India. Power plants are symbol of how rapidly India's economy is expanding.
Similarly China, shall remain a net importer of thermal coal for coming few years as it's economy is growing at firm speed and is expected to deliver mind-boggling growth in 2011. China's coal imports more than doubled to 150 million tonnes from the previous year. Closure of smaller mines, coupled with increased demand from power sector, has triggered China's demand for imported coal.
India has also emerged as one of the major importer of coal. The imports are likely to be around 100-150 million tonnes for the current year as it adds new thermal capacities. India imports about three-fourths of its coal requirement from Indonesia, while South Africa and Australia accounts for the rest.
The quality of Indonesian coal is much better than Indian coal. The gross calorific value of Indonesian coal ranges between 5,000 and 6,500 kilo calories per kilogram (kcl/kg); while for Indian coal it is only 3,000-4,500 kcl/kg- with high ash contents. Bulk of the imported coal in India is used by power companies, which use it to blend with the local coal to improve calorific value. The coal prices also depend upon the ash content and the calorific value .Indonesia’s strategic geographic location makes it the most preferred country for Indian companies for its proximity to the country, which means lower ocean freight charges and better timing compared to other countries such as Australia.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
The higher energy demand in India would drive up import of coal .The overall energy generated in India could double within a decade.
Indian power sector will be heavily depend on coal for decades to come. At the same time, India's steel industry, also dependent on coal, is expected to treble its output within a decade.
But there is growing concern about where all the coal is going to come from. India has significant coal reserves suitable for power generation and boasts the world's biggest coal company - the government-owned Coal India Limited. But the expansion of the Indian economy has been so rapid, demand is outstripping domestic supply.
The government wants the economy to expand at 9-10 per cent a year to help lift millions of poor families out of poverty. But an energy supply crunch could compromise that growth target.
India has theoretically significant reserves but it will take a long time to get into actual production, There is a urgent need to re-examine the regulations and policies associated with exploration, exploitation and production. India is still not fully encouraging commercial coal mining by the private sector.
India's coal reserves are concentrated in the eastern states of Orissa, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, West Bengal and Madhya Pradesh, where basic logistics infrastructure (such as ports and railways) is lacking. Various government regulation concerning forestry and environmental restrictions are also hindering mine development. Unless such bottlenecks are addressed, growth in domestic coal production could be difficult.'
Due to government regulatory delays, infrastructure bottlenecks and security risks are encouraging Indian firms to look overseas to secure coal supply especially in Indonesia, South Africa, Mozambique, Australia etc. for their ambitious power projects in India.
Indonesia's thermal coal mines have a comparative advantage over Australia's because they are nearer to India but Australia's reputation as a reliable supplier is attractive to Indian buyers.’ Australian mines might be more expensive but they are reliable. Australia’s advantages are that the coal is good and the infrastructure is good'
In spit of all , Australia will face stiff competition from Indonesia - which has lower transport costs. A significant proportion of coal transport in Indonesia is water based, which allows for coal to be transported along rivers via barges to the open sea for loading onto larger vessels. Indonesia’s coal suppliers rely heavily on floating transhipment facilities due to economic reasons.
Indonesia's coal Industry has transformed itself from being an minor player in Asia's Coal market to the world's largest Exporter of Steam Coal .Indonesia has come from nowhere to challenge Australia as the world’s largest exporter of thermal coal and is expected soon to topple Australia as the largest coal exporter.
Indonesia’s government needs to accelerate reforms for foreign direct investment (FDI) in mining and energy sector to give direct control to foreign investors, in order to win confidence and attract/invite major international companies into Indonesia. There is need of more coordination between Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources Deptt , Indonesian Investment Co-ordination Board (BKPM) ,and Various Regional administrations.
The phenomenal growth in Indonesia’s coal exports in last five years reflects the ability of its coal industry to respond to the rapid growth in Asian demand for thermal coal.
Indonesia has huge coal reserves and exporting coal to many countries for use in power plants for generating energy but it is paradoxical that Indonesia is short of energy. Many Indian companies (Tata , Reliance,Jindal ,L&T, Monnet, Adani ,Essar etc) are capable of sharing power technology and setting up mega power plants in Indonesia
Indonesian private companies can buy equity stakes in Indian power plants in exchange / barter for long-term coal supply. Since India is today one of the fastest growing economies and also has a shortage of power supply then such deals can be beneficial to both parties .Indonesian government or Indonesian companies can invite Coal barter bids (CBB) ,where from foreign companies for development of ports , Roads , Railway lines , Power Plants etc. In Coal barter bids , coal will be supplied to party who will set up Power plants or develop infrastructure etc. Coal mining in Indonesia can be an extremely lucrative sector for overall economic growth. Indonesian government should make single window clearance system to operate business in Indonesia to encourage foreign enterprises and Investment for Coal barter bids. Indonesian Coal companies are fully aware that India is a market into which they can export or thru barter transactions, its major share of Coal Production.
Today Indonesia has stable economic outlook and if reform efforts towards basic infrastructures continues it may become Economic Tiger of Asia by 2020.
Today Indonesia is the heart of the Asian Coal boom.
Analyst - Sunil K Kumbhat , Jodhpur (Rajasthan), India
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Friday, 01 April 11
SUPRAS EX RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL TO INDIA HOVERING AT $ 25 - 27.00 PMT - FEARNBULK
Handy
Atlantic markets remain stable with more activity from the Black Sea to FEast paying in the mid 20´s on Supras. The USG remains firm p ...
Friday, 01 April 11
DRY BULK MARKET WEAKENS ON SLOWER DEMAND, HOPES FOR MID-TERM REBOUND ON JAPANS RECONSTRUCTION - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market, as reflected in the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) retreated for a third day yesterday, after staying flat on Monday, to end at 1,530 p ...
Wednesday, 30 March 11
CHALLENGER SIGNS OPTION AGREEMENTS TO PURCHASE FOUR COAL PROJECTS IN INDONESIA
Challenger Signs Three Exclusive Option Agreements to Purchase Four Coal Projects in East Kalimantan, Indonesia
Challenger Deep Resources Corp.ha ...
Wednesday, 30 March 11
KPCL TO IMPORT ONE MILLION TONS OF 6300 GAD COAL
COALspot.com - Karnataka Power Corporation a state utility of Karnataka, India called for open tender for supply of one million tons of 6300 Kcal/kg ...
Wednesday, 30 March 11
WIKA GRABS PROJECT FROM ADARO INDONESIA - INSIDER STORIES
One of Indonesia's largest thermal coal PT Adaro Indonesia has finally mandated PT Wijaya Karya Tbk (WIKA) as a contractor to install and manage ov ...
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- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Coal Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Planning Commission, India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
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