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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Saturday, 20 November 10
ITALIAN STEAM COAL MARKET HAS RECOVERED - ITALIAN COAL ASSOCIATION
Press Release - This year Italy will import 17 million tons of steam coal, up 3% from 2009, and 5.5 million tons of coking coal and PCI, up 37% over ...
Friday, 19 November 10
WE'LL THINK ABOUT COAL TOMORROW - ANALYSIS
The future of coal generation in Russia is in question. The largest energy companies have abandoned their initial plans to switch their therma ...
Friday, 19 November 10
DRY BULK MARKET ON THE ROPES WITH BDI PLUNGING TO 2,164 POINTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the panamax markets suffering the most this week, but a ray of hope for the capesize market, which appears to be stabilizing after days of fall ...
Thursday, 18 November 10
WORLD COAL ASSOCIATION WELCOMES NEW CHAIRMAN & SHENHUA GROUP AS NEW MEMBER 17 NOVEMBER 2010
Press Release – The premier global coal industry association marks its 25th anniversary with a new Chairman and welcomes China’s lar ...
Thursday, 18 November 10
MUNDRA PORT AWARDED BEST PRIVATE PORT - COMMODITY ONLINE / HELLENIC SHIPPING
Adani Group owned, Mundra Port has been awarded the Annual Indian Maritime Gateway Award for the Best Private Port of the Year for the third consecu ...
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- The University of Queensland
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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