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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 15 December 10
SMALLER DRY BULK VESSELS ARE LOOKING UP, LARGER ONES FAIL TO DELIVER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market lost further ground at the beginning of the week, in what could prove one of the slowest periods ship owners have been faced. Ye ...
Tuesday, 14 December 10
COAL IMPORTS MAY INCREASE 78% TO CHINA, INDIA: ENERGY MARKETS - BUSINESS WEEK
Business Week reported that, China and India may increase imports of coal by 78 percent to 337 million metric tons next year, further driving up pri ...
Tuesday, 14 December 10
BANPU PLANNING PRODUCTION BOOM - BANGKOK POST
Australian, Indonesian output to lead growth
Bangkok Post reported that, Banpu Plc, Asean's largest coal miner, wants to nearly double its coal ...
Tuesday, 14 December 10
THE FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA AND CHINA REMAINED FIRM - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - The freight market continued to be soft with the Cape sector most effected which was down by 289 points and closed at 2,694 poi ...
Monday, 13 December 10
ICE FUTURES EUROPE TO LAUNCH IHS MCCLOSKEY INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS FOB MARKER COAL CONTRACTS - MONDOVISIONE
Mondovisione reported that, IntercontinentalExchange (NYSE: ICE), a leading operator of global regulated futures exchanges, clearing houses and over ...
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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