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Wednesday, 12 January 11
BULKER DELIVERIES WEIGHING IN ON FREIGHT RATES KEEPING SENTIMENT ON A NEGATIVE MODE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A flurry of new buildings still hitting the water has caught up for good with the freight market, with capesizes unable to weather the storm. With rates now closing in to $10,000/day for a capesize, it’s just a matter of time before some owners at least begin considering even the option of layoffs, as the market’s downturn is such that it could simulate the conditions prevailing during the financial crisis of the final months of 2008. Of course, global dry bulk trade is far from the state it was back then, demand for goods is solid and the global economy is in a large part recovering, although at a slower than expected pace.
Still, capesize rates have kept on falling, ending yesterday down by 3.86 percent, according to the Baltic Exchange. This meand that the market for capesizes has fallen by more than 25% since Christmas Eve. “Although the Atlantic held up for a while, by the end of the month it had attracted ships from the Pacific, ensuring rates softened in both markets” said shipbroker BRS (Barry Rogliano Salles) in its weekly report. As a whole the BDI fell by 1% yesterday to reach 1,480 points a new low in more than two years. The only bright spot seems to be the Panamax market, which has continued to find support and widening its gap in terms of daily earnings from its larger counterpart, the capesize segment.
According to N. Cotzias Shipping Group, “the negative trend that was there during week 51 of 2010 continued well into 2011 and the overcapacity issue that we had repeatedly warned the markets from late 2009 is here to cause more headaches during 2011. We expect the indexes to further reduce their values at least in the larger size segments and any possible recover will be temporary and short lived. What is worth stating is that as long as the developed world markets don’t get seriously into a post –recession stage, and keep operating at idling speeds then the rest of the world and the shipping markets can’t rely solely on China to keep producing the steam for all the world. The load on China’s back is too heavy and unless there is another China… invented in 2011 we feel that the scales that measures the rise in demand for seaborne goods vs the rise in supply of new dry cargo ships will heavily tip over one side… and we all know which side of the scales is already heavily imbalanced!” said the company in its latest report.
As far as overcapacity goes, Cotzias notes that there is a total of more than 3,500 dry bulk carriers on order pending until 2014 of a total of 250mil tons dwt. “These orders are split chronologically as follows: 1854 ships are due for 2011 making up a total of 128mil dwt, 1106 ships due in 2012 of 87mil dwt and 360 ships of 30mil dwt due for 2013-2014. In total there is a massive orderbook only on the Bulkers section and we should not understate the fact that 2011 faces us with more than 55% of the total orderbook scheduled for delivery and that we should also include in this 114 orders of 4mil dwt that are “carried forward” from 2010. The outlook looks worst for Supramax size segment where the total fleet adds up to 69mil dwt tons and has more than 36mil tons to come in the next 2 years included the ships that are “brought forward” as outstanding orders from 2010 (58% possible increase in the next 2 years). The second worst size segments are the VLOC’s andthe Post Panamax sectors that have nearly as much capacity coming within the next 2 year period as the fleet sums up today (we observe a near 100% increase over the next 2 years). The Handymax size segment is looking much better as the orders here are minimal and have also a very largely over-aged fleet with more than 70% being 20 year + in age and the new building orders not exceeding 4mil tons of extra carrying capacity. The Capesize size segment is also largely on threat as the present fleet amounts to 183 tons presently with more than 69mil tons on order until 2012. This will lead to a 38% increase in the fleet that will be shocked by the addition of 25mil more in the larger Very Large Ore Carriers that will act not as a domino effect but more like the Cliffhangers that when one falls over… the weight and pressure is put on the others still hanging solidly on the cliffs to support the rest” said the shipbroker.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 27 December 10
RIO TINTO EYES AUSTRALIAN COAL MINER - RTE NEWS
Global resources giant Rio Tinto has made a $3.9 billion bid for Australian coal miner Riversdale.
RTE News reported that, Global resources giant ...
Sunday, 26 December 10
ANGLO SELLS AUSTRALIAN COAL ASSETS - BARCELONA NEWS
Barcelona News reported that, Anglo American has sold off undeveloped Australia coal assets for $577 million.
The global resources giant ha ...
Saturday, 25 December 10
FREIGHT MARKET - LOWEST FIXTURES REPORTED SINCE MID 2009 - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - We wish you a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year 2011.
The holiday season seems to have severely affected the fr ...
Friday, 24 December 10
CIL SHORTLISTS 21 FIRMS TO IMPORT 250 MT COAL - THE HINDU
The Hindu reported that, Coal India plans to import about 250 million tonnes (mt) over the next 10 years to meet the country's growing requirement. ...
Friday, 24 December 10
DRY BULK OWNERS COULD SOON RECONSIDER SCRAPPING OLDER VESSELS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the dry bulk market close to its lowest levels in months and indeed close to 2010 lows, ship owners could be heading towards scrapyards in a bi ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Planning Commission, India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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