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Tuesday, 21 December 10
CHINA COAL CAP TO BOOST GLOBAL M&A - FINANCIER WORLD WIDE


Financier World Wide reported that, Chinese state-run media has reported that the Central Government intends to cap domestic coal production for fear of exhausting reserves and failing to meet the needs of the fast expanding economy. At the same time, the National Energy Administration director, Zhang Guobao, has encouraged Chinese mining enterprises to pursue mergers and acquisitions at home and abroad in order to consolidate and modernise the disjointed mining industry and to increase coal imports. The news comes at a time when the global mining sector is witness to record annual M&A transactions. According to Dealogic, over $47.1bn has changed hands in 2010, through 968 deals. China was the target of a record $11.6bn of these deals.

Imports and exports
China’s love affair with coal began amidst the industrialisation of the 1950s, and the country has depended heavily on the fossil fuel ever since. Ninety-seven percent of China’s coal is consumed in power generation, industry, coking, and residential use and heating.

Of these, power supply needs dominate. According to the US Geological Survey (USGS), two-thirds of Chinese electricity generation is from coal-fired plants and power generation accounts for half of China’s coal use.

The pace of Chinese industrial growth saw the country move from being a net exporter of 1.8 million tonnes in 2008, to a net importer of 103 million tonnes in 2009. It is the second largest user of coal next to the US, accounting for 41 percent of the world’s total consumption, and is by far the world’s largest producer of the fuel. Despite this, China’s domestic mining industry is challenged by lack of centralisation, inefficiency and overburdened transport links. Frequent industrial accidents and environmental issues are also major problems.

Domestic and outbound deals
To modernise its mining industry the Chinese government aims to shut down a large proportion of its 11,000 small coal mines while encouraging state owned and private coal mine enterprises to initiate mergers and acquisitions.

Yanzhou Coal Mining Co. recently revealed plans to buy a 51 percent stake in the Inner Mongolia-based Haosheng Coal Mining Ltd. for $980m, and Aluminum Corporation of China will invest $80.5m to establish Shanxi Xiuxin Gugou Coal (Group), merging the assets of five coal companies. The newly established group will have coking coal reserves of 300 million tons which are expected to last up to 75 years.

The government also aims to secure imports through a program of cross-border M&A. In the three years to September 2010, Chinese companies spent $20.96bn on overseas coal industry acquisitions, and activity has continued since the government’s announcement. Australia has been a particularly prized target for Chinese firms of late.

Yanzhou bought Australia’s Felix Resources Ltd. for $2.9bn in August 2009 and has actively been scanning the market for additional acquisitions, particularly coking and thermal coal operations. In November 2010 China Coal Geology Engineering Corp and Wanbei Coal-Electricity Group partnered to explore and develop coal resources in Queensland. They expect to uncover 10 billion tonnes of reserves. November also saw Australia’s Caledon Resources agree to be bought by the Chinese state-owned investment group Guangdong Rising Assets Management Co for £252m.

Global interest
Companies around the world have caught wind of China’s resource fears, and are scrambling to meet the demand. On 16 November, Nat Rothchild’s Vallar paid $3bn for 25 percent of Indonesian coal producer PT Bumi Resources and 75 percent of PT Berau Coal Energy. Just days later, the US coal miner Walter Energy bid $3.2bn for Canada’s Western Coal, with the intention of supplying the Chinese market.

Plenty of others are cashing in too. Caterpillar has spent $8.6bn buying US-based Bucyrus, a manufacturer of excavators used in opencast coal mines. The firm has said the coal industry is one of the principal growth markets that they are now targeting.

Australia has remained a prime target for foreign companies seeking to benefit from growing prices and sales to Asia. 2010 saw $6.7bn of coal acquisitions in the country, compared to $5.9bn for the whole of 2009.

The US is also becoming a major playing field for coal industry M&A deals, due in part to the relatively low price of its thermal coal. Privately held, Alabama-based Drummond and Co. is taking bids for its mines in North Columbia, expecting to fetch up to $8bn. Several other good-sized companies are expected to become involved in M&A including Consol Energy, Alpha Natural Resources and Arch Coal.

China’s lack of oil and gas reserves makes it difficult for the country to move away from coal, though the country has begun to address this over-reliance through imports and acquisitions of other resources. However, with newly installed coal-fired power plants now coming on line, it seems that China will remain heavily dependent on coal production and imports for the foreseeable future, and this will continue to drive overseas acquisitions of mining firms and coal assets.
Source: Financier World Wide



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