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Thursday, 14 May 09
INDONESIA 2009 COAL OUTPUT REVISED DOWN - REUTERS
 * Indonesia coal output seen at 240 million tonnes in 2009
* Coal exports down 11.2 pct to 44.79 mln tonnes in Q1 2009
* Production down 1.4 pct to 58.074 mln tonnes in Q1 2009
* Coal prices seen between $65-$70 until year end
Indonesia's coal output this year may be about 9 percent lower than initially expected due to the global crisis, a top industry official said on Thursday, although Chinese and Indian demand should lift exports in the second half.
Indonesia, the world's top thermal coal exporter, is expected to produce about 240 million tonnes of coal this year, slightly up from 238 million tonnes last year, but down on a forecast of 265 million tonnes early this year, said Bob Kamandanu, head of the Indonesia Coal Association.
Coal production in the first quarter fell 1.39 percent to 58.07 million tonnes, compared to 58.90 million tonnes in the same period of 2008.
"There were no cancellation from buyers, but they reduced the shipment volumes," Kamandanu, the association's newly-elected chairman, said in an interview.
"With the situation, production is most likely to hit 240 million tonnes. If demand improves in the second half, it could be much higher but it will not reach 265 million," he said.
Indonesia exported 44.79 million tonnes of coal in the first quarter, down 11.2 percent from 50.49 million tonnes in the January-March period last year, Kamandanu said.
Coal is the cheapest source of thermal energy used in the industrial sector, with the cement and steel industry among the largest buyers.
But demand has stuttered as the downturn has forced factories from Europe to China to halt production as exports slump.
However, Indonesia's overall coal exports for 2009 should still top the 206 million tonnes shipped in 2008 as coal demand was expected to recover in the second half helped by Chinese and Indian demand, Kamandanu said.
"We see demand from China is picking up and there's more demand from India. I see there will be improvement in the second semester," he said.
Asian coal prices have recovered from a near 6-month low of $58 a tonne in February to hover above $60 in the past two months aided by Chinese demand for coal from Australia and Indonesia.
India's demand for coal is growing by around 8-9 percent a year, outpacing production that is growing by 6 percent as the power sector has not been hit by the credit crunch.
Kamandanu said coal prices were likely to hover between $65-$70 until the end of the year.
"I don't think there will be a significant jump in prices like last year. Players learned a lesson from last year," he said.
Coal prices have fallen from a record peak of $201 a tonne hit in July last year. Thermal coal prices at the globalCOAL Newcastle weekly index stood at $63.46 a tonne late Wednesday.
Despite lower exports in the first quarter, domestic coal demand jumped nearly 60 percent to 13.28 million tonnes, from 8.39 million tonnes in the same period as many domestic users had locked in contracts early this year.
"Last year, their stockpiles were nearly empty because rains disrupted production and shipments. So this year, they lock in contracts earlier to avoid that problem," he said.
The association said it planned, by targeting smaller firms, to expand its membership to 100 coal firms from 54 now to boost marketing of Indonesian coal.
Source: http://money.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=813959
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Saturday, 20 June 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS UP AND EXPORTS DOWN
China’s coal import hit a new monthly high in May, while coal export slumped to a 11-year low, China Securities Journal reported today.
The ...
Friday, 19 June 09
COAL FORUM TO MEET IN BALI NEXT WEEK
Bali will host next week a Southeast Asian forum on coal, involving coal producers, consumers and government representatives.
The Indonesian Ener ...
Friday, 19 June 09
KARNATAKA POWER CORP BEGINS BLENDING INDONESIAN COAL
BL reported that the State Government owned power utility Karnataka Power Corporation Limited has begun blending imported Indonesian coal for its th ...
Thursday, 18 June 09
COAL MINING HALTS AFTER DEADLY BLAST - (UPDATE 2)
All mining activists in Sawahlunto, West Sumatra, are at a standstill after a major underground explosion killed at least 31 miners and buried 12 ot ...
Thursday, 18 June 09
INDIA'S HINDALCO CLOSE TO BUYING AUSTRALIA COAL MINE
India's largest aluminium maker Hindalco Industries is close to acquiring a coal mine in Australia, for about $70-$80 million, The Economic Times r ...
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