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Thursday, 14 October 10
DRY BULK MARKET MAINTAINS POSITIVE TREND ON FIRMER CHINESE IRON ORE DEMAND


The dry bulk market has kept its upward trend set since last week, with the industry’s main benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rising to 2,748 points or by 1.07% on a daily basis. According to shipbrokers and analysts, this development has to be attributed to the higher Capesize demand, on account of the increase of Chinese iron ore enquiries. According to the latest weekly report from Fearnley’s, the capesize segment keeps showing strength on the back of Chinese stock-building combined with limited tonnage availability, particularly in the Atlantic.

“With Pacific pretty remaining the sole provider of early tonnage for both basins, levels obtained for transatlantic and north Atlantic business soar. Fronthaul rates are approaching USD 70k, up some 16% w-o-w, whilst Pacific rounds are stable at just below USD 40k. Paper is supporting period activity to a certain extent, so far this week resulting in a handful of standard BCI units done for short periods in the region of USD 33,500-34, 500/day. Longer periods of 11-13 mos have been concluded twice, last on 180,000 dwt/built 2010 ex yard October at USD 31,500. Judging from the considerable number of tonnage providers looking to secure period employment, the most common forward market view appears to include a discount to present levels” said the shipbroker.

On the Panamax front a lack of fresh requirements gave charterers the possibility to pick and choose of tonnage, especially in USG and MED markets. “The TA market dropped slightly, around USD 500 from last week. Fixing in the USD 18,500 range. In the Pacific the supply of spot tonnage has increased and little fresh requirement seen. Pac rounds fixing around USD 18,000. Fronthaul and backhaul kept stable at respectively USD 28,000 / USD 10,000. Period market has gone silent as sentiment turned more bearish and FFA market traded down although on low volumes.

Based on a Reuters article, brokers reported hopes that firmer U.S. grains export activity, helped by a Russian grain export ban, would provide support to the smaller ships later this year. Analysts said freight rates would be dampened this year by the pace at which new ships are set to enter the market this year and next, despite indications of some vessel cancellations and delays.

Meanwhile, in the newbuilding orders market, things are looking bright, despite the oversupply issues. Clarksons said in its weekly analysis that “currency fluctuations and their effect on pricing have been a major topic of debate recently, with yards in both Japan and China facing upward pricing pressures due to the strength of their respective currencies. There seems to be little chance of this relenting in the short term, with Japan this week stating it would not actively devalue its currency as it looks to move its economy away from its dependence on exports.

Chinese pricing is also now starting to show signs of firming in response to a continually appreciating RMB - and whilst it has been the competitive pricing offered from Chinese yards that has been instrumental in driving the Chinese newbuilding market in the past few months, it will be interesting to note if their own currency exposure results in this price gap advantage being further eroded - and whether the demand side of the market will continue to support firming Chinese values” concluded Clarksons.

In terms of reported business: In Wet, SK Shipping are reported to have ordered 4 x 319,000dwt VLCC tankers at Hyundai Heavy Industries which will be delivered in 2012 and 2013. In Dry, Classic Maritime have signed 2 x 206,000dwt Capesize bulk carriers at Shanghai Waigaoqiao for delivery in 2013. Taizhou Catic are understood to have signed a deal with an unknown owner for 2 option 2 x 82,000dwt Kamsarmax bulkers with the firm vessels set for delivery on 2012. Finally Jiangsu Eastern are reported to have signed two deals, both for delivery in 2012, one with Pitiousa Shipping for 1 x 95,000dwt bulker and another with a domestic buyer for 5 x 47,500dwt bulk carriers.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping

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