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Tuesday, 14 September 10
HIGH CHARTERING ACTIVITY NEEDS TO KEEP UP FOR DRY BULK RATES TO REMAIN HIGH
 Last week’s increase of spot chartering activity pushed dry bulk freight rates to new highs, after a less than lackluster summer. As a result, the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) managed to post a healthy increase over the previous weeks. Still, Monday broke the 10-session straight increases, with the index falling by 19 points back at 2,976, with little activity in the market and small declines across most market segments. According to the latest weekly report from Commodore Research, dry bulk freight rates found continued support last week on the strength of robust spot chartering activity. Panamax rates found the most amount of support due to very firm thermal coal demand, with Chinese coal buyers chartering a large number of vessels. Chinese electricity output continues to struggle to satisfy demand, which has resulted in the government reducing power allocation to steel mills.
“Despite mills receiving less electricity, iron ore demand, particularly in China, remains robust. 33 ore fixtures were reported last week, an increase from 19 ore fixtures reported during the previous week. 24 of last week’s ore fixtures were for capesize vessels, an increase from 14 capesize ore fixtures reported during the previous week. Grain demand has also stayed firm which has contributed to panamax and supramax rates finding support.128 spot trip fixtures (53 more the previous week which had one less day of chartering activity) and 31 period fixtures (3 less than the previous week) were reported last week. Nine of the period deals were for a year or more” the report said.
It went on to state that Panamax vessels have been chartered en masse to export coal and grain, with a larger than usual amount of vessels chartered to haul cargo from the US Gulf. Rates for the smaller vessel classes have also found support on the strength of firm grain demand. Firm demand for minor bulk (including bauxite and alumina) has also given support to rates for smaller vessels. Chinese ore demand was extremely strong last week, even while reports have been surfacing that the Chinese government is beginning to reduce power allocation to steel mills (discussed in greater detail below and on page 3). Capesize rates were able to find continued support as a large number of Australian and Brazilian iron ore shipments were chartered in the market last week. It is worth pointing out, however, that a larger than usual amount of Indian iron ore fixtures were also reported as India’s monsoon season is coming to an end. Most of the Indian ore fixtures were for supramaxes” Commodore said.
But, the dry bulk market could be in for a surprise going forward chartering activity must remain at current levels for dry bulk rates to find greater support. According to Commodore, the Chinese government’s decision to reduce electricity allocation to steel mills, however, represents a great threat to near-term dry bulk rates – especially capesize rates. Chinese steel demand has remained firm recently, with crude steel output in August estimated at 51.64 million tons - a decline of just 100,000 tons from production in July. So far this year, monthly Chinese crude steel output has averaged 53.33mt, an increase of 6.09mt (13%) from 2009’s monthly average of 47.24mt. It remains to be seen just how much China’s steel production will be affected by the electricity allocation restrictions. With steel prices rising and Chinese steel stockpiles continuing to decline, China’s steel mills will be disinclined to lower production. Some reports suggest that a few steel mills are using diesel-powered generators to generate additional electricity for their blast furnaces. Other reports suggest that the government penalties on using too much electricity are not high enough to truly stop mills from using large amounts of electricity. We will continue to monitor this development closely, as there is certainly potential for a decline in steel output. Based on last week’s level of Chinese iron ore fixtures, however, Chinese steel and iron ore demand remain firm” Commodore’s report concludes.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping
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Wednesday, 20 October 10
CANADIAN CHALLENGER ACQUIRES INDONESIAN COAL PROJECT
COALspot.com (Press Release): According to Challenger Deep Resources Corp's website and press release posted on the site, Challenger Deep Res ...
Wednesday, 20 October 10
ADANI THE LARGEST COAL IMPORTER OF INDIA IS NEGOTIATING WITH COAL INDIA LIMITED FOR A SUPPLY AGREEMENT - TOP NEWS
Top News reported that, negotitations are very much on between Adani Enterprises, the biggest coal importer of the country and Coal India Limited, t ...
Wednesday, 20 October 10
UAE FIRM IN INDONESIA RAIL DEAL - GULF NEWS
Gulf News reported that, construction of a 140-kilometre railway in Indonesia, initiated by RAK Minerals and Metals Investments (RMMI) will start ne ...
Wednesday, 20 October 10
CAPESIZES FINDING SUPPORT IN IRON ORE DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Although the beginning of the week wasn’t the rosiest one for the dry bulk market, last week proved a cheerful one for dry bulk ship owners, e ...
Saturday, 16 October 10
BDI WAS MARGINALLY UP BY 2.45 PCT LAST WEEK - VISTAAR SHIPPING
COALspot.com: The BDI seemed to lose the moment compared to last week and was marginally by 2.45 pct and closed at 2,762 points.
Also the Cape in ...
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
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- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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