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Saturday, 24 July 10
ANALYSIS - GROWTH IN VESSEL SUPPLY PRESSURES OCEAN FREIGHT RATES
It's common to use global shipping rate trends as a proxy of global economic health. If demand for goods and raw materials are strong, so should it be transparent in rising shipping rates and demand to move product across the ocean. But rates have tumbled dramatically in the past two months. A benchmark indicator is the U.S. Gulf to Japan route for a generic 50,000-tonne vessel. In mid-May, rates were US$73/t and dropped to $51/tonne one week ago, now rising slightly to $55/t.
The greatest declines are for the biggest vessels (70,000t tonnes or more), the ones used to carry iron ore and coal from Australia and Brazil to China. Such ships cost about US$48,000 a day in late May; but are now only about $18,000 a day, according to industry participants. China's demand for steel appears to have cooled following the recent price surge during the first half of the year and China's effort to cool property markets by restricting credit.
This doesn't imply the beginning of a permanent downtrend. China's economy may be slowing, but the need for raw ingredients can be expected to continue to rise... just that it comes and goes in waves. Furthermore, supply of ships is increasing. It takes about two to three years for a ship to be built and ready to sail after an order is placed and the freight rate spike of three years ago accelerated orders. During first-half 2010, new vessels are coming into service at a rate of 16 a month, a 23 per cent increase over last year, according to industry sources. However, this is now increasing to 23 a month.
Container rates, meanwhile, are reported to be flat. Freight rates from Vancouver to India have slipped fromUS$70-75/t three months ago to$55-60/t. This has helped edible pea bids. Vancouver to China is about U.S. $35/t, down from three-month ago levels of around $50/t. Cheaper ocean freight is generally considered favourable as it lowers the cost of landed goods. Right now, this feels more like a supply growth push in vessel availability than a collapse in demand.
Source: Resource News International / Hellenic Shipping
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Thursday, 29 July 10
GOVT TOO OPTIMISTIC ON IRON, COAL PRICE
Federal government forecasts of continued strength in iron ore and coal prices, which underpin revenue expectations for the proposed new mining tax, ...
Thursday, 29 July 10
BALTIC INDEXES ARE POSITIVE SINCE A FEW DAYS
Handy
Baltic indexes are positive since a few days which could mean that markets have bottomed out (as we correctly predicted in our report of las ...
Wednesday, 28 July 10
INDONESIA'S MERUKH SECURES US$200 MLN INVESTMENT FROM SAN MIGUEL
Trading Market Reported that, Indonesian mining company Merukh Enterprises said it has secured an investment commitment of US$200 million from the P ...
Wednesday, 28 July 10
RIZAL RISJAD MAY OWN 10% BERAU ENERGY
Rizal Risjad, son of Indonesian tycoon Ibrahim Risjad, might own 10% stakes in PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk (BRAU), parent company of Indonesia's fifth ...
Wednesday, 28 July 10
UNUSUAL RAINS TO HIT COAL EXPORTS
COALspot.com: Heavy rains in South and East Kalimantan have compelled coal exporters to delay or cancel coal exports. PT Bayan and PT. TIA hav ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- White Energy Company Limited
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- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Planning Commission, India
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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