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Thursday, 15 July 10
NO IMPROVEMENT IN THE DRY BULK MARKET - INTERMODAL
 Broker’s insight
With the Baltic Dry Index today (13/7/2010) standing at 1,790 points - the lowest point since early May 2009 - the odds are clearly against the drybulk sector absorbing the current newbuilding orderbook. The size of the demand/supply mismatch will determine whether dry bulk shipping shall face a soft or hard landing. We all hope for a soft landing but we are bracing ourselves for a hard landing. Once bitten - twice shy!
In 2008, the BDI had reached 11,793 points on 20th May and it fell to 663 points on December 5th of the same year; the speed and the scale of this short-term "crisis" took the shipping industry by surprise. The recovery in 2009 has been also unexpected but welcome; restoring the confidence of all parties involved. Is what we are experiencing today "deja-vu"?
Some years ago, a charter rate of $18,000 per day for a modern panamax was considered to be very robust. Today, the same vessel is chartered at this level but, for some owners, this is NOT necessarily considered a good rate. In other words, we face the paradox that the current market can be interpreted at the same time good for some and modest or bad for other owners, depending on their investment position.
Although rates are well down from the high levels of recent years, historically they are still relatively good and should be profitable, so the market is not bad, but to those who have not been around for the last 20 years they seem low. We should not forget the fact that between 1985 and 2003, BDI ranged between 600 and 2,200 points....
It would be a shot in the dark to try and guess on where the market is heading. But, if the recent plunge of the Baltic Dry Index continues; it is almost certain that, at some point, vessel prices will be forcibly reduced to a level that will be in direct correlation with freight market conditions. Something similar to what the shipping market experienced at the beginning of 2009 - and who would want to lose out again on such a chance to buy low?
Chartering (Wet: Soft- / Dry: Weaker-)
No improvement was noted in the dry bulk market this week, as rates continued to fall across the board pushing the BDI to a more than 14 month low. The BDI today (13/07/2010) closed at 1,790points, a decrease of 50 points compared to Monday’s (12/07/2010) closure, and a drop of 337 points compared to last Tuesday’s levels ( 06/07/2010). Tankers also faced a second consecutive week of dropping rates as demand from the US and Far East continues to drop.
The BDTI, Monday (12/07/2010), was at 789, 35 points down and the BCTI at 812, a decrease of 6 points from last Monday’s levels (05/06/2010).
Chartering
With almost non existent activity noted in the iron ore trade and demand for coal remaining fairly weak, Capes continue on their downward spiral reaching now a more than 14 month low. The steep decline of the fall noted these past 2 months has severely depressed market sentiment making it hard for owners to fight of any further drop, while the large numbers of newbuilding deliveries entering the water every week provides charterers with more than ample tonnage to push rates down further.
Panamaxes continued to lose ground as activity is still at the low end especially in the North Atlantic. The was some improvement in the ECSA market as fresh cargo orders started to apear. However this seemed to be too little too late, as the number of prompt tonnage in the area provide charterers with the leverage they need to soften freight levels further.
A soft week for Handys as well in both the Pacific and Atlantic basins. The larger Supramaxes and Handymaxes mainly saw activity in ECSA as well as off India were some fresh enquiries started to appear. Smaller handysize vessels looked to perform worse this week as activity in the Black Sea/Cont regions dropped further.
Source: intermodal (by Tasos Papadopoulos)
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Thursday, 15 July 10
IRON ORE PRICING MECHANISMS PUT ON THE SPOT
THE new iron ore pricing mechanisms that killed off the annual benchmark system are coming under pressure. The spot price of the steel feed has fall ...
Thursday, 15 July 10
NTPC TO PURSUE COAL MINE ACQUISITION IN AUSTRALIA, INDONESIA - BUSINESS STANDARD
Business-Standard reported that, NTPC, the India’s largest power producer, has set the ball rolling to acquire coal mines or form joint ventur ...
Wednesday, 14 July 10
SUCCESSFUL COMMISSIONING OF GTLE LOW RANK COAL UPGRADING PLANT
COALspot.com: GTL Energy Ltd (GTL Energy) announced that construction and commissioning of its proprietary ‘first-of-a-kind’, low rank c ...
Tuesday, 13 July 10
BUMI TO PRODUCE MORE THAN 67 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN 2010
COALspot.com: Bumi resources, Indonesia’s largest coal producer has previewed its operating results in KPC/Arutmin for Jan – Jun 2010. A ...
Tuesday, 13 July 10
FURTHER LOSSES FOR BALTIC DRY INDEX ON HIGH VESSEL SUPPLY
The dry bulk market can’t catch a breath, as it has now entered the 7th straight week of losses. The industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dr ...
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- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
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