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Thursday, 15 July 10
NO IMPROVEMENT IN THE DRY BULK MARKET - INTERMODAL
Broker’s insight
With the Baltic Dry Index today (13/7/2010) standing at 1,790 points - the lowest point since early May 2009 - the odds are clearly against the drybulk sector absorbing the current newbuilding orderbook. The size of the demand/supply mismatch will determine whether dry bulk shipping shall face a soft or hard landing. We all hope for a soft landing but we are bracing ourselves for a hard landing. Once bitten - twice shy!
In 2008, the BDI had reached 11,793 points on 20th May and it fell to 663 points on December 5th of the same year; the speed and the scale of this short-term "crisis" took the shipping industry by surprise. The recovery in 2009 has been also unexpected but welcome; restoring the confidence of all parties involved. Is what we are experiencing today "deja-vu"?
Some years ago, a charter rate of $18,000 per day for a modern panamax was considered to be very robust. Today, the same vessel is chartered at this level but, for some owners, this is NOT necessarily considered a good rate. In other words, we face the paradox that the current market can be interpreted at the same time good for some and modest or bad for other owners, depending on their investment position.
Although rates are well down from the high levels of recent years, historically they are still relatively good and should be profitable, so the market is not bad, but to those who have not been around for the last 20 years they seem low. We should not forget the fact that between 1985 and 2003, BDI ranged between 600 and 2,200 points....
It would be a shot in the dark to try and guess on where the market is heading. But, if the recent plunge of the Baltic Dry Index continues; it is almost certain that, at some point, vessel prices will be forcibly reduced to a level that will be in direct correlation with freight market conditions. Something similar to what the shipping market experienced at the beginning of 2009 - and who would want to lose out again on such a chance to buy low?
Chartering (Wet: Soft- / Dry: Weaker-)
No improvement was noted in the dry bulk market this week, as rates continued to fall across the board pushing the BDI to a more than 14 month low. The BDI today (13/07/2010) closed at 1,790points, a decrease of 50 points compared to Monday’s (12/07/2010) closure, and a drop of 337 points compared to last Tuesday’s levels ( 06/07/2010). Tankers also faced a second consecutive week of dropping rates as demand from the US and Far East continues to drop.
The BDTI, Monday (12/07/2010), was at 789, 35 points down and the BCTI at 812, a decrease of 6 points from last Monday’s levels (05/06/2010).
Chartering
With almost non existent activity noted in the iron ore trade and demand for coal remaining fairly weak, Capes continue on their downward spiral reaching now a more than 14 month low. The steep decline of the fall noted these past 2 months has severely depressed market sentiment making it hard for owners to fight of any further drop, while the large numbers of newbuilding deliveries entering the water every week provides charterers with more than ample tonnage to push rates down further.
Panamaxes continued to lose ground as activity is still at the low end especially in the North Atlantic. The was some improvement in the ECSA market as fresh cargo orders started to apear. However this seemed to be too little too late, as the number of prompt tonnage in the area provide charterers with the leverage they need to soften freight levels further.
A soft week for Handys as well in both the Pacific and Atlantic basins. The larger Supramaxes and Handymaxes mainly saw activity in ECSA as well as off India were some fresh enquiries started to appear. Smaller handysize vessels looked to perform worse this week as activity in the Black Sea/Cont regions dropped further.
Source: intermodal (by Tasos Papadopoulos)
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Thursday, 29 July 10
GOVT TOO OPTIMISTIC ON IRON, COAL PRICE
Federal government forecasts of continued strength in iron ore and coal prices, which underpin revenue expectations for the proposed new mining tax, ...
Thursday, 29 July 10
BALTIC INDEXES ARE POSITIVE SINCE A FEW DAYS
Handy
Baltic indexes are positive since a few days which could mean that markets have bottomed out (as we correctly predicted in our report of las ...
Wednesday, 28 July 10
INDONESIA'S MERUKH SECURES US$200 MLN INVESTMENT FROM SAN MIGUEL
Trading Market Reported that, Indonesian mining company Merukh Enterprises said it has secured an investment commitment of US$200 million from the P ...
Wednesday, 28 July 10
RIZAL RISJAD MAY OWN 10% BERAU ENERGY
Rizal Risjad, son of Indonesian tycoon Ibrahim Risjad, might own 10% stakes in PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk (BRAU), parent company of Indonesia's fifth ...
Wednesday, 28 July 10
UNUSUAL RAINS TO HIT COAL EXPORTS
COALspot.com: Heavy rains in South and East Kalimantan have compelled coal exporters to delay or cancel coal exports. PT Bayan and PT. TIA hav ...
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- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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