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Saturday, 19 June 10
DRY BULK MARKET DOWN ON CHINESE SLOWDOWN FEARS
Dry bulk freight rates have been on a freefall for more than two weeks now, something which has caused the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) to plunge by almost 30% in a month, ending the week at 2,694 points, down 90 on a daily basis. The index had rallied at more than 4,000 points just a few weeks, sparking renewed investment interest by ship owners. But, as most have realized by now, volatility will remain the norm for the market as the year progresses, with the so called “China factor” proving to be even more crucial for the market’s behavior.
According to Weberseas’ latest weekly report, “the expected mid-summer correction continued this week, affecting all sizes, but in particular the larger sizes with the capesize and panamax. However not to forget that China and Taiwan were on holiday from Monday to Wednesday this week made matters worse. On the other hand, positive news are coming from China where the country's net coal imports are expected to reach a huge 170 million tonnes this year. The same figure for 2009 was 103 million tonnes so this year we could see a jump in coal imports by as much as 65%. And why is this important news? Simply because China's energy consumption comes mostly from coal - in 2009 alone coal accounted for nearly 70% of the country's total energy consumption. Thus, coal movements into China will increase and this will be reflected in freight rates” said Weberseas.
Reflecting on Chinese economy and more interestingly for dry bulk ship owners on the steel industry, Commodore Research issued its monthly report on the subject, saying that “Chinese crude steel production set another new monthly record in May - but fears of an impending economic slowdown coming to China persist. China produced 56.17 million tons of crude steel in May, an increase of 770,000 tons (1%) from the previous monthly record of 55.4mt produced in April. Despite another month of record setting crude steel production, many market observers continue to expect that rapid economic growth in China will soon decrease.
Concerns are flooding the financial and shipping markets that recent government policies aimed at restricting bank lending and slowing the swift rise in real estate prices will drastically reduce economic growth in China. We believe that these fears are valid but anticipate Chinese economic growth will maintain robustness for the foreseeable future, even if lending moderates and real estate prices become less robust. Any decline in growth is expected to be small, and moderate lending and firm industrial demand and consumer spending are expected to continue. We do believe, however, that Chinese steel output will decrease in the short-term from an extremely robust level of current production” said the report.
It went on to state that Chinese steel prices remain under pressure and steel mills have begun to announce short-term production cuts and “maintenance” that will slow some blast furnaces. “Chinese steel stockpiles have decreased from a month ago, though, with stockpiles of flat and construction steel products now totaling about 15.2 million tons, a decrease of 300,000 tons (-2%). Current stockpiles are 3.38mt (-18%) lower than the record 18.58mt of steel stockpiled in the beginning of March. Chinese steel output is therefore still expected to remain strong even though output is likely to decline this month as steel producers react to falling prices. Chinese steel exports continue to reach monthly volumes not seen since 2008. China exported 4.94 million tons of steel in May, an increase of 630,000 tons (15%) from the 4.31mt exported in April. In the first five months of 2010, Chinese steel exports have averaged 3.59mt per month, an increase of 1.54mt (75%) from 2009‘s monthly average of 2.05mt. A steady increase in global steel demand continues to contribute to robust Chinese steel production” concluded Commodore.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide
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Monday, 07 June 10
SOUTH AFRICA COAL STAYS NEAR 18-MONTH HIGH ON EUROPEAN DEMAND - BLOOMBERG
Bloomberg Reported that, Prices for coal shipped from South Africa’s Richards Bay, the continent’s biggest export facility for the fuel, ...
Sunday, 06 June 10
THE DOWNWARD TREND FOR S6 AND S7 ROUTE IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: "This seemed market heading for corrections with all sectors down", said, Capt. Reddy, MD of Vistaar Shipping Singapore, an ...
Sunday, 06 June 10
STEAM COAL MAY BECOME NEXT BOOMING COMMODITY IN AUSTRALIA - DB
Deutsche Bank predicts that thermal coal could become Australia's next booming commodity. The German investment bank's global thermal coal team ex ...
Friday, 04 June 10
INDO/INDIA AROUND THE MID 20'S LEVEL AND MID TO HIGH 20'S INDIA/CHINA
Handy
After a quiet end to last week, the Atlantic handysize market continued&nb ...
Thursday, 03 June 10
INDO GOVERNMENT TRIES TO CALM BUSINESSES FEARS OVER FOREST - CLEARING MORATORIUM
The Jakarta Globe reported that, as producers of coal and palm oil continued to howl, the government on Tuesday offered reassurances that the develo ...
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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