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Saturday, 22 May 10
PORT CONGESTION IN AUSTRALIA HELPING RATES CHINA COAL IMPORT BOOM TO CUSHION FREIGHT RATES
China's record coal imports this year will provide some support to freight rates but growing pressure from fleet oversupply is set to limit gains. Net coal imports to China, the world's biggest coal producer, could soar 70-100 percent to 170 million tonnes or more in 2010, boosting coal prices globally, if the country's power use boom continues, according to exporters and analysts including the International Energy Agency.
Much of the coal is being transported in smaller panamax vessels, which have a capacity of around 60 000 and 80 000 deadweight tonnes (dwt). This helped average daily earnings for panamaxes rise this week to over the $35 000 level -- their highest since November last year.
"One of the main freight drivers has been this growth in coal exports to China," Martin Sommerseth Jaer, lead shipping analyst with Arctic Securities, said.
Panamax earnings have averaged around $29 900 a day so far this year from $19 300 a day in 2009.
Drought in south western China has also pushed up demand for coal in recent weeks leading to record high congestion levels at ports in major exporter Australia, already struggling with logistical problems.
"(China's coal demand) has also helped contribute to congestion on the east coast of Australia thereby cutting fleet supply and boosting freight rates," Derek Langston, a director with SSY Consultancy and Research, said.
China's coal appetite is also set to help tonne mile demand -- a key indicator of ship demand -- which measures the volume of cargo transported multiplied by the distance of the voyage.
"It's very beneficial for tonne mile demand as you have the involvement of more long haul voyages to China such as Colombia and some South African coal," Langston said.
"The reduction in export availability of Chinese coal to buyers in Korea and Japan means there is another benefit ... as those buyers have to seek coal from further afield such as Indonesia and Australia."
Listed dry bulk shipping companies with panamaxes among their fleet such as Safe Bulkers, Golden Ocean group and Diana Shipping could also see gains.
"Dry bulk stocks with large panamax or supramax or handymax fleets are the most prone to benefit from this," Arctic Securities' Jaer said.
FLEET GROWTH
China's appetite for coal has also meant better sales for exporters from Colombia which is the longest route, which could also help benefit demand for coal capesizes, the largest class of dry bulk vessels with a capacity above 100 000 dwt.
But analysts say growing ship supply will put the brakes on rate gains.
"Over the next couple of years you need more coal trade to China and more coal imports to India to absorb the growing fleet," Jaer said.
"Even the most optimistic scenario on the demand side will likely not be able to bolster rates further as we believe the supply side is simply so overwhelming."
SSY estimated dry bulk net fleet growth rising to 63 million dwt this year from 38 million dwt in 2009.
"Robust Chinese thermal coal imports are expected to continue, even after the drought improves, but this incremental increase in dry bulk demand will not be enough to outpace the record level of new buildings continuing to be delivered," Jeffrey Landsberg, senior analyst with dry bulk consultants Commodore Research, said.
Panamax freight rates are currently around $27 per tonne on most major coal routes and could drop by up to $5 per tonne, but much will depend on how much ship tonnage gets absorbed, coal players said.
"It's very difficult to predict what will happen to freight rates," a major Indian importer said. "I'd like to think rates will come down later in the year but I can't be confident."
Consultants MSI estimated average panamax earnings could reach $24 000 a day by October.
Will Fray, shipping analyst with MSI, said coal imports could drop off once China's hydro power output returned to a proper operating capacity and local coal stocks, depleted by drought, were rebuilt.
"We expect earnings to be on average higher than 2009 for panamax and handymax. The order book still looms heavy, however, and we anticipate earnings to fall across all segments in 2011 even given a rise in Chinese coal imports," he said.
Source: Reuters / Hellenic Shipping
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Saturday, 08 May 10
THE FUTURES FOR THREE YEARS (2010-2012) WAS AT AROUND PANAMAX / $ 21500 & SUPRAMAX / $ 18500 PER DAY - VISTAAR SHIPPING
COALspot.com: The BDI continued to go up and was up by 7.57 pct even though the stock markets was severely affected with worries on Greek debt crisi ...
Saturday, 08 May 10
MAHAGENCO TO IMPORT 3.35 MILLION TON OF COAL
COALspot.com: Indian utility Maharashtra State Power Generation Co. Ltd. is in market for 3.35 million tones of imported coal. The purchase of coal ...
Saturday, 08 May 10
NAPOCOR BUYS 122,000 TONS COAL - ABC CBN NEWS
ABC - CBN News reported that, State-run National Power Corp. (Napocor) said on Thursday it awarded 2 contracts for the supply of a total 122,000 ton ...
Saturday, 08 May 10
RICHARDS BAY COAL SHIPMENTS FALL TO AN 11-MONTH LOW - BLOOMBERG
Bloomberg reported that, Coal shipments from Richards Bay Coal Terminal, Africa’s biggest export facility for the fuel, fell to an 11-month lo ...
Tuesday, 04 May 10
APRIL 2010 COAL PRICE REFERENCE WAS US$ 86.58/T FOB VESSEL
COALspot.com: The directorate general of mineral, coal and geothermal of Indonesia has publishing a monthly coal price reference (HBA) to be used by ...
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The University of Queensland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Planning Commission, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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