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Saturday, 22 May 10
PORT CONGESTION IN AUSTRALIA HELPING RATES CHINA COAL IMPORT BOOM TO CUSHION FREIGHT RATES
China's record coal imports this year will provide some support to freight rates but growing pressure from fleet oversupply is set to limit gains. Net coal imports to China, the world's biggest coal producer, could soar 70-100 percent to 170 million tonnes or more in 2010, boosting coal prices globally, if the country's power use boom continues, according to exporters and analysts including the International Energy Agency.
Much of the coal is being transported in smaller panamax vessels, which have a capacity of around 60 000 and 80 000 deadweight tonnes (dwt). This helped average daily earnings for panamaxes rise this week to over the $35 000 level -- their highest since November last year.
"One of the main freight drivers has been this growth in coal exports to China," Martin Sommerseth Jaer, lead shipping analyst with Arctic Securities, said.
Panamax earnings have averaged around $29 900 a day so far this year from $19 300 a day in 2009.
Drought in south western China has also pushed up demand for coal in recent weeks leading to record high congestion levels at ports in major exporter Australia, already struggling with logistical problems.
"(China's coal demand) has also helped contribute to congestion on the east coast of Australia thereby cutting fleet supply and boosting freight rates," Derek Langston, a director with SSY Consultancy and Research, said.
China's coal appetite is also set to help tonne mile demand -- a key indicator of ship demand -- which measures the volume of cargo transported multiplied by the distance of the voyage.
"It's very beneficial for tonne mile demand as you have the involvement of more long haul voyages to China such as Colombia and some South African coal," Langston said.
"The reduction in export availability of Chinese coal to buyers in Korea and Japan means there is another benefit ... as those buyers have to seek coal from further afield such as Indonesia and Australia."
Listed dry bulk shipping companies with panamaxes among their fleet such as Safe Bulkers, Golden Ocean group and Diana Shipping could also see gains.
"Dry bulk stocks with large panamax or supramax or handymax fleets are the most prone to benefit from this," Arctic Securities' Jaer said.
FLEET GROWTH
China's appetite for coal has also meant better sales for exporters from Colombia which is the longest route, which could also help benefit demand for coal capesizes, the largest class of dry bulk vessels with a capacity above 100 000 dwt.
But analysts say growing ship supply will put the brakes on rate gains.
"Over the next couple of years you need more coal trade to China and more coal imports to India to absorb the growing fleet," Jaer said.
"Even the most optimistic scenario on the demand side will likely not be able to bolster rates further as we believe the supply side is simply so overwhelming."
SSY estimated dry bulk net fleet growth rising to 63 million dwt this year from 38 million dwt in 2009.
"Robust Chinese thermal coal imports are expected to continue, even after the drought improves, but this incremental increase in dry bulk demand will not be enough to outpace the record level of new buildings continuing to be delivered," Jeffrey Landsberg, senior analyst with dry bulk consultants Commodore Research, said.
Panamax freight rates are currently around $27 per tonne on most major coal routes and could drop by up to $5 per tonne, but much will depend on how much ship tonnage gets absorbed, coal players said.
"It's very difficult to predict what will happen to freight rates," a major Indian importer said. "I'd like to think rates will come down later in the year but I can't be confident."
Consultants MSI estimated average panamax earnings could reach $24 000 a day by October.
Will Fray, shipping analyst with MSI, said coal imports could drop off once China's hydro power output returned to a proper operating capacity and local coal stocks, depleted by drought, were rebuilt.
"We expect earnings to be on average higher than 2009 for panamax and handymax. The order book still looms heavy, however, and we anticipate earnings to fall across all segments in 2011 even given a rise in Chinese coal imports," he said.
Source: Reuters / Hellenic Shipping
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Monday, 24 May 10
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE (HBA) FOR MAY 2010 REACHES US$ 92.07 PER TON FOB VESSEL
COALspot.com: The directorate general of mineral, coal and geothermal of Indonesia has released Indonesian coal price reference (HBA) for Month of M ...
Monday, 24 May 10
PAMA TO CLOSE COALS ACQUISITION IN 2010
Insider Stories reported that, Indonesia's largest coal mining contractor PT Pamapersada Nusantara, subsidiary of PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR), wi ...
Sunday, 23 May 10
SINGARENI LEVIES PREMIUM TO BALANCE COAL DEMAND - BUSINESS STANDARD
Business-Standard reported that, In view of the rising demand for coal, Singareni Collieries Company Limited has recently levied a premium on c ...
Saturday, 22 May 10
THE BRENT CRUDE PRICES WAS SHARPLY DOWN AT US$ 71.72 PER BARREL - VISTAAR SHIPPING
COALspot.com: The freight market was under pressure with the caps size index down by 10 pct with uncertainty in Europe crisis continuing.
The BD ...
Saturday, 22 May 10
INDUSTRY QUESTIONS STEAM COAL PRICE ANOMALY
Five South Korean utilities have secured a deal for 3.13 million tonnes of Australian thermal coal with a calorific value of 6,080kcal/kg for delive ...
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
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