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Monday, 19 April 10
IS CHINA TO SUFFER NEW COAL SUPPLY SHORTAGE IN 2010? - XINHUA
Is China likely to suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010? It's a question haunting many Chinese market analysts now. After a string of several coalmine accidents in the past month, China has launched a nationwide check on coalmine safety. Meanwhile, severe drought in southwest China has directly led to a jump in thermal power demand. Theses have aroused a market concern on a possible coal supply shortage in China in 2010.
Henan province, a major coal production base in China, has stated the coal consolidations, and how many small coalmines will be shut down has become a crucial factor determining whether China will suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010.
-- Safety check to postpone production resumption of small coalmines in Shanxi
Shanxi province has decided to launch a three-month safety check on an internal conference on March 31 in a wake of consecutive coal accidents in March, Official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office said that the safety check in Shanxi province would mainly focus on the legality and safety system of coalmines under construction.
Following that, the State Administration of Work Safety and the State Administration of Coal Mine Safety jointly made an emergency notice on extending the safety check from Shanxi province to nationwide.
Huang Yi, vice director of the State Administration of Work Safety estimated that the check would involve more than 7000 coalmines and 1.5-billion coal production capacity.
The official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office noted that the safety check would postpone the operation of newly built large coalmines and the production resumption of the small coalmines after the coal consolidation in the second largest coal producing province in China, but would not trigger an extensive suspension of production as in 2008, said the official.
Small coalmines in Shanxi were asked to suspend production in all-round way for rectification in 2008 due to a string of coalmine accidents, and before resuming production, they were acquired and merged by large coalmines compulsorily in accordance with Shanxi?s coal consolidation plan launched at the beginning 2009.
Senior manager with sales branch of Shanxi Coking Coal Group said that about 70-million-tonne coal production capacity of small coalmines, which have been acquired by Shanxi Coking Coal Group which produced 80.79 million tonnes of coal in 2009, is scheduled to be released at the end of 2010. But the production resumption is likely to be further postponed on current circumstance.
The senior manager predicted that coal enterprises would not blindly raise coal output and therefore the expected output growth may lower.
According analyst Liu Fei with Guodu Securities, there are about 400 million tonnes/year of coal production capacity under construction in Shanxi province.
In the first two month of 2010, nearly 10 million tonnes of newly added coal output capacity has gone into operation, but the recent coal accidents would delay the operation of other newly added output capacity.
The State Council has claimed that the safety check would involve all sectors in China. The Ministry of Railways has initiated a two-month safety check since Apr. 5, and Datong-Qinhuangdao Railway, a key coal transportation channel, has also entered a one-month maintenance, which is enormously affecting the coal supply.
Although the safety check will affect the coal output in Shanxi in short term, the province still seems quite confident in fulfilling its target of producing 670-700 million tonnes of coal in 2010 and has shown no intention to revise the target.
In 2009, coal output in Shanxi province amounted to about 620 million tonnes on shutdown of small coalmines, down 30 million tonnes on year. However, the coal consolidations in Shanxi has come to an end, which would great enhance Shanxi's output capacity, and a large amount of newly formed production capacity would enter into operation this year in spite of the three-month safety check. Therefore, coal supply from Shanxi province would remain stable or even rise in 2010.
-- Southwest drought calls for greater thermal power demand
In March, power supply shortage in Yunnan, Guizhou and Guangxi provinces exceeded 5 million kilowatts, which would have to be fed by thermal power generation.
The lasting severe drought in southwest China since the Chinese Lunar New Year in February has led to a dramatic decline in hydropower generation, which only took up 12 percent of national power supply in the first two months of 2010, down 9 percentage points on year.
Many southern China provinces with hydraulic power as main power source are facing electricity supply shortage.
According to Guizhou provincial government, Guizhou province has an electricity shortage of 3 million kilowatt hours. Water storage of reservoir in Guizhou has declined to the bottom level in history, down by 30 percent on year, which decreased the daily hydropower generation from 90 million kilowatt hours to 60 million kilowatt hours.
The situation in Yunnan province is even worse, with the electricity shortage topping 4 billion kilowatt hours. Since water resource plunged by 30-40 percent on year, less than 30 percent of total installed capacity of major hydropower stations is operational. Affected by the electricity shortage, upstream sectors like ferrous metals industry in Yunnan and Guangxi have fully or partly suspended production.
About 17.6 percent industrial enterprises in Yunnan province have been severely affected.
GF Securities forecast that the power supply shortage may push up the demand for power coal by at least 4-5 percent for the whole year of 2010.
According to statistics released by China Electricity Council (CEC) in February, power coal consumption stood at 1.56 billion tonnes in 2009, and CEC predicted that China's power coal demand would remain high in 2010 at about 1.66 billion tonnes
Chen Liang, analyst with GF Securities holds China may face a new coal supply shortage in 2010 on similar condition in 2008.
But some other experts are not as pessimistic as Chen Liang, and they believe overall coal supply would keep balance in 2010 despite of regional tight supply in the peak seasons in summer and winter. Now Henan province, one of China?s major coal production bases, becomes the biggest variable affecting the balance between coal supply and demand in China.
-- Small coalmine M&A in Henan to affect national coal supply in 2010
Henan Province announced a plan on coal enterprises merger, acquisition and reorganization in March. According to a document issued by the provincial government, major coal enterprises are expected to hold over 85 percent of total coal resources in the province at the end of 2010, but it remain unclear that how many small coalmines will be shut down.
Henan planned to control its coal output at 150 million tonnes in 2010, down 80 million tonnes from 230 million tonnes in 2009.
Under such a circumstance of tight balance, a reduction of 80 million tonnes in coal output would give a heavy blow to the marketm said Chen Liang, the GF Securities analyst.
However, market observers generally doubted about the production reduction target and they hoped that the target is a upper limit.
Chen Dangyi, vice director with Department of Industry and Information Technology of Henan province, said that although the Henan has carried out guiding opinion on the coal consolidation, but detailed plan is still being formulated. It's unpredictable how much Henan's coal output would be affected by the coal consolidation.
Small coalmines, which account for nearly one third of national coal output, are blamed for about 70 percent coal accidents in China. Therefore, China will have to make greater effort in consolidating small coalmine in a bid to reduce accidents.
Source: Xinhua
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Wednesday, 03 February 10
RECOVERY IN INDONESIAN MINING SECTOR EXPECTED TO BOOST SALES, UNITED TRACTORS SAYS
PT United Tractors, the country’s biggest supplier of heavy equipment, said on Tuesday that it expected sales to increase 15 percent this year ...
Tuesday, 02 February 10
THAI BANPU SAYS HIGHER COSTS TO HIT COAL PROFITS
Thailand's top coal miner, expects profits from its coal business in 2010 to be lower than last year due to higher costs, but its chief executive i ...
Monday, 01 February 10
CIL PLANS TO INVEST IN OVERSEAS COAL MINES
Over the next 10 years, CIL expects to import from these mines at least 500 million tonnes of thermal coal, a variety used by power plants
The bo ...
Sunday, 31 January 10
AUSTRALIA NEWCASTLE THERMAL COAL FALLS 0.7 PERCENT TO $ 98.53
Power-station coal prices at Australia’s Newcastle port, a benchmark for Asia, declined 0.7 percent, falling for the first time in four weeks. ...
Sunday, 31 January 10
NTPC TO IMPORT COAL
NTPC Ltd plans to import coal directly, starting next fiscal.
“We plan to import 15-16 million tonnes of coal directly from next year,&rdqu ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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