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Monday, 19 April 10
IS CHINA TO SUFFER NEW COAL SUPPLY SHORTAGE IN 2010? - XINHUA
Is China likely to suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010? It's a question haunting many Chinese market analysts now. After a string of several coalmine accidents in the past month, China has launched a nationwide check on coalmine safety. Meanwhile, severe drought in southwest China has directly led to a jump in thermal power demand. Theses have aroused a market concern on a possible coal supply shortage in China in 2010.
Henan province, a major coal production base in China, has stated the coal consolidations, and how many small coalmines will be shut down has become a crucial factor determining whether China will suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010.
-- Safety check to postpone production resumption of small coalmines in Shanxi
Shanxi province has decided to launch a three-month safety check on an internal conference on March 31 in a wake of consecutive coal accidents in March, Official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office said that the safety check in Shanxi province would mainly focus on the legality and safety system of coalmines under construction.
Following that, the State Administration of Work Safety and the State Administration of Coal Mine Safety jointly made an emergency notice on extending the safety check from Shanxi province to nationwide.
Huang Yi, vice director of the State Administration of Work Safety estimated that the check would involve more than 7000 coalmines and 1.5-billion coal production capacity.
The official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office noted that the safety check would postpone the operation of newly built large coalmines and the production resumption of the small coalmines after the coal consolidation in the second largest coal producing province in China, but would not trigger an extensive suspension of production as in 2008, said the official.
Small coalmines in Shanxi were asked to suspend production in all-round way for rectification in 2008 due to a string of coalmine accidents, and before resuming production, they were acquired and merged by large coalmines compulsorily in accordance with Shanxi?s coal consolidation plan launched at the beginning 2009.
Senior manager with sales branch of Shanxi Coking Coal Group said that about 70-million-tonne coal production capacity of small coalmines, which have been acquired by Shanxi Coking Coal Group which produced 80.79 million tonnes of coal in 2009, is scheduled to be released at the end of 2010. But the production resumption is likely to be further postponed on current circumstance.
The senior manager predicted that coal enterprises would not blindly raise coal output and therefore the expected output growth may lower.
According analyst Liu Fei with Guodu Securities, there are about 400 million tonnes/year of coal production capacity under construction in Shanxi province.
In the first two month of 2010, nearly 10 million tonnes of newly added coal output capacity has gone into operation, but the recent coal accidents would delay the operation of other newly added output capacity.
The State Council has claimed that the safety check would involve all sectors in China. The Ministry of Railways has initiated a two-month safety check since Apr. 5, and Datong-Qinhuangdao Railway, a key coal transportation channel, has also entered a one-month maintenance, which is enormously affecting the coal supply.
Although the safety check will affect the coal output in Shanxi in short term, the province still seems quite confident in fulfilling its target of producing 670-700 million tonnes of coal in 2010 and has shown no intention to revise the target.
In 2009, coal output in Shanxi province amounted to about 620 million tonnes on shutdown of small coalmines, down 30 million tonnes on year. However, the coal consolidations in Shanxi has come to an end, which would great enhance Shanxi's output capacity, and a large amount of newly formed production capacity would enter into operation this year in spite of the three-month safety check. Therefore, coal supply from Shanxi province would remain stable or even rise in 2010.
-- Southwest drought calls for greater thermal power demand
In March, power supply shortage in Yunnan, Guizhou and Guangxi provinces exceeded 5 million kilowatts, which would have to be fed by thermal power generation.
The lasting severe drought in southwest China since the Chinese Lunar New Year in February has led to a dramatic decline in hydropower generation, which only took up 12 percent of national power supply in the first two months of 2010, down 9 percentage points on year.
Many southern China provinces with hydraulic power as main power source are facing electricity supply shortage.
According to Guizhou provincial government, Guizhou province has an electricity shortage of 3 million kilowatt hours. Water storage of reservoir in Guizhou has declined to the bottom level in history, down by 30 percent on year, which decreased the daily hydropower generation from 90 million kilowatt hours to 60 million kilowatt hours.
The situation in Yunnan province is even worse, with the electricity shortage topping 4 billion kilowatt hours. Since water resource plunged by 30-40 percent on year, less than 30 percent of total installed capacity of major hydropower stations is operational. Affected by the electricity shortage, upstream sectors like ferrous metals industry in Yunnan and Guangxi have fully or partly suspended production.
About 17.6 percent industrial enterprises in Yunnan province have been severely affected.
GF Securities forecast that the power supply shortage may push up the demand for power coal by at least 4-5 percent for the whole year of 2010.
According to statistics released by China Electricity Council (CEC) in February, power coal consumption stood at 1.56 billion tonnes in 2009, and CEC predicted that China's power coal demand would remain high in 2010 at about 1.66 billion tonnes
Chen Liang, analyst with GF Securities holds China may face a new coal supply shortage in 2010 on similar condition in 2008.
But some other experts are not as pessimistic as Chen Liang, and they believe overall coal supply would keep balance in 2010 despite of regional tight supply in the peak seasons in summer and winter. Now Henan province, one of China?s major coal production bases, becomes the biggest variable affecting the balance between coal supply and demand in China.
-- Small coalmine M&A in Henan to affect national coal supply in 2010
Henan Province announced a plan on coal enterprises merger, acquisition and reorganization in March. According to a document issued by the provincial government, major coal enterprises are expected to hold over 85 percent of total coal resources in the province at the end of 2010, but it remain unclear that how many small coalmines will be shut down.
Henan planned to control its coal output at 150 million tonnes in 2010, down 80 million tonnes from 230 million tonnes in 2009.
Under such a circumstance of tight balance, a reduction of 80 million tonnes in coal output would give a heavy blow to the marketm said Chen Liang, the GF Securities analyst.
However, market observers generally doubted about the production reduction target and they hoped that the target is a upper limit.
Chen Dangyi, vice director with Department of Industry and Information Technology of Henan province, said that although the Henan has carried out guiding opinion on the coal consolidation, but detailed plan is still being formulated. It's unpredictable how much Henan's coal output would be affected by the coal consolidation.
Small coalmines, which account for nearly one third of national coal output, are blamed for about 70 percent coal accidents in China. Therefore, China will have to make greater effort in consolidating small coalmine in a bid to reduce accidents.
Source: Xinhua
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Sunday, 07 March 10
SHIPS WERE FIXED AT AROUND US$ 16,000 PER DAY FOR TRIP VIA INDONESIA TO INDIA - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The freight market was quite buoyant this week and BDI was up by 18 pct . The Cape index up by 23.60 pct and Panamax index was up by 1 ...
Saturday, 06 March 10
ESSAR TO BUY US COAL FIRM FOR $550-600 MN
Business-Standard reported that, the Essar Group is close to buying Trinity Coal, one of the top 10 coal producers in the US, in a deal worth $550-6 ...
Friday, 05 March 10
KARNATAKA POWER SEEKS 900,000 TONS STEAMING COAL OVER 9 MONTHS
Bloomberg reported that, Karnataka Power Corp., an Indian electricity generator, is seeking to import 900,000 metric tons of steaming coal over nine ...
Friday, 05 March 10
COAL RALLY ON CHINESE DEMAND SPARKS $59 ESTIMATES
Bloomberg reportd that, A rally that has boosted coal prices 21 percent from their lows last year may have further to go as the coldest U.S. winter ...
Thursday, 04 March 10
BANPU KEEPS JORONG OUTPUT AT 2M TONNES
Bangkok Post reported that, Banpu Plc, Asean's largest coal miner, is maintaining an output target of 2 million tonnes this year from its Jorong mi ...
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- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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