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Monday, 19 April 10
IS CHINA TO SUFFER NEW COAL SUPPLY SHORTAGE IN 2010? - XINHUA
Is China likely to suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010? It's a question haunting many Chinese market analysts now. After a string of several coalmine accidents in the past month, China has launched a nationwide check on coalmine safety. Meanwhile, severe drought in southwest China has directly led to a jump in thermal power demand. Theses have aroused a market concern on a possible coal supply shortage in China in 2010.
Henan province, a major coal production base in China, has stated the coal consolidations, and how many small coalmines will be shut down has become a crucial factor determining whether China will suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010.
-- Safety check to postpone production resumption of small coalmines in Shanxi
Shanxi province has decided to launch a three-month safety check on an internal conference on March 31 in a wake of consecutive coal accidents in March, Official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office said that the safety check in Shanxi province would mainly focus on the legality and safety system of coalmines under construction.
Following that, the State Administration of Work Safety and the State Administration of Coal Mine Safety jointly made an emergency notice on extending the safety check from Shanxi province to nationwide.
Huang Yi, vice director of the State Administration of Work Safety estimated that the check would involve more than 7000 coalmines and 1.5-billion coal production capacity.
The official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office noted that the safety check would postpone the operation of newly built large coalmines and the production resumption of the small coalmines after the coal consolidation in the second largest coal producing province in China, but would not trigger an extensive suspension of production as in 2008, said the official.
Small coalmines in Shanxi were asked to suspend production in all-round way for rectification in 2008 due to a string of coalmine accidents, and before resuming production, they were acquired and merged by large coalmines compulsorily in accordance with Shanxi?s coal consolidation plan launched at the beginning 2009.
Senior manager with sales branch of Shanxi Coking Coal Group said that about 70-million-tonne coal production capacity of small coalmines, which have been acquired by Shanxi Coking Coal Group which produced 80.79 million tonnes of coal in 2009, is scheduled to be released at the end of 2010. But the production resumption is likely to be further postponed on current circumstance.
The senior manager predicted that coal enterprises would not blindly raise coal output and therefore the expected output growth may lower.
According analyst Liu Fei with Guodu Securities, there are about 400 million tonnes/year of coal production capacity under construction in Shanxi province.
In the first two month of 2010, nearly 10 million tonnes of newly added coal output capacity has gone into operation, but the recent coal accidents would delay the operation of other newly added output capacity.
The State Council has claimed that the safety check would involve all sectors in China. The Ministry of Railways has initiated a two-month safety check since Apr. 5, and Datong-Qinhuangdao Railway, a key coal transportation channel, has also entered a one-month maintenance, which is enormously affecting the coal supply.
Although the safety check will affect the coal output in Shanxi in short term, the province still seems quite confident in fulfilling its target of producing 670-700 million tonnes of coal in 2010 and has shown no intention to revise the target.
In 2009, coal output in Shanxi province amounted to about 620 million tonnes on shutdown of small coalmines, down 30 million tonnes on year. However, the coal consolidations in Shanxi has come to an end, which would great enhance Shanxi's output capacity, and a large amount of newly formed production capacity would enter into operation this year in spite of the three-month safety check. Therefore, coal supply from Shanxi province would remain stable or even rise in 2010.
-- Southwest drought calls for greater thermal power demand
In March, power supply shortage in Yunnan, Guizhou and Guangxi provinces exceeded 5 million kilowatts, which would have to be fed by thermal power generation.
The lasting severe drought in southwest China since the Chinese Lunar New Year in February has led to a dramatic decline in hydropower generation, which only took up 12 percent of national power supply in the first two months of 2010, down 9 percentage points on year.
Many southern China provinces with hydraulic power as main power source are facing electricity supply shortage.
According to Guizhou provincial government, Guizhou province has an electricity shortage of 3 million kilowatt hours. Water storage of reservoir in Guizhou has declined to the bottom level in history, down by 30 percent on year, which decreased the daily hydropower generation from 90 million kilowatt hours to 60 million kilowatt hours.
The situation in Yunnan province is even worse, with the electricity shortage topping 4 billion kilowatt hours. Since water resource plunged by 30-40 percent on year, less than 30 percent of total installed capacity of major hydropower stations is operational. Affected by the electricity shortage, upstream sectors like ferrous metals industry in Yunnan and Guangxi have fully or partly suspended production.
About 17.6 percent industrial enterprises in Yunnan province have been severely affected.
GF Securities forecast that the power supply shortage may push up the demand for power coal by at least 4-5 percent for the whole year of 2010.
According to statistics released by China Electricity Council (CEC) in February, power coal consumption stood at 1.56 billion tonnes in 2009, and CEC predicted that China's power coal demand would remain high in 2010 at about 1.66 billion tonnes
Chen Liang, analyst with GF Securities holds China may face a new coal supply shortage in 2010 on similar condition in 2008.
But some other experts are not as pessimistic as Chen Liang, and they believe overall coal supply would keep balance in 2010 despite of regional tight supply in the peak seasons in summer and winter. Now Henan province, one of China?s major coal production bases, becomes the biggest variable affecting the balance between coal supply and demand in China.
-- Small coalmine M&A in Henan to affect national coal supply in 2010
Henan Province announced a plan on coal enterprises merger, acquisition and reorganization in March. According to a document issued by the provincial government, major coal enterprises are expected to hold over 85 percent of total coal resources in the province at the end of 2010, but it remain unclear that how many small coalmines will be shut down.
Henan planned to control its coal output at 150 million tonnes in 2010, down 80 million tonnes from 230 million tonnes in 2009.
Under such a circumstance of tight balance, a reduction of 80 million tonnes in coal output would give a heavy blow to the marketm said Chen Liang, the GF Securities analyst.
However, market observers generally doubted about the production reduction target and they hoped that the target is a upper limit.
Chen Dangyi, vice director with Department of Industry and Information Technology of Henan province, said that although the Henan has carried out guiding opinion on the coal consolidation, but detailed plan is still being formulated. It's unpredictable how much Henan's coal output would be affected by the coal consolidation.
Small coalmines, which account for nearly one third of national coal output, are blamed for about 70 percent coal accidents in China. Therefore, China will have to make greater effort in consolidating small coalmine in a bid to reduce accidents.
Source: Xinhua
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Thursday, 01 April 10
PROFIT AT TWO INDONESIAN COAL MINERS SOARS AS RECOVERY STIRS GREATER DEMAND, HIGHER PRICES - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, Two of the country’s biggest coal producers enjoyed a surge in profit last year as prices rose and demand pic ...
Thursday, 01 April 10
BHP BILLITON TO SELL STAKE IN MARUWAI TO ADARO - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Posted reported that, BHP Billiton has agreed to sell 25 percent of its stake in the Maruwai Coal Project in Kalimantan to Indonesia&rsq ...
Thursday, 01 April 10
AUSTRALIAN COAL PRODUCER REJECTS $3 BILLION PEABODY OFFER - STL TODAY
STL today reported that, Australian coal producer Macarthur Coal Ltd. rejected a $3 billion cash takeover bid from Peabody Energy Corp., which seeks ...
Thursday, 01 April 10
TATA POWER EYES MORE COAL FROM INDONESIA FOR ITS FUTURE PLANTS - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Financial Expressreported that, Tata Power, one of the largest private sector power utilities in the country with interests in generation, transmiss ...
Wednesday, 31 March 10
COAL INDIA MULLS JOINT VENTURE WITH RIO TINTO AND PEABODY - DNA
DNA reported that, Coal India Ltd. (CIL) has finalised two key contenders for its international joint venture (JV) in Australian and US each. The co ...
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Planning Commission, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Coal Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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