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Monday, 19 April 10
IS CHINA TO SUFFER NEW COAL SUPPLY SHORTAGE IN 2010? - XINHUA
 Is China likely to suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010? It's a question haunting many Chinese market analysts now. After a string of several coalmine accidents in the past month, China has launched a nationwide check on coalmine safety. Meanwhile, severe drought in southwest China has directly led to a jump in thermal power demand. Theses have aroused a market concern on a possible coal supply shortage in China in 2010.
Henan province, a major coal production base in China, has stated the coal consolidations, and how many small coalmines will be shut down has become a crucial factor determining whether China will suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010.
-- Safety check to postpone production resumption of small coalmines in Shanxi
Shanxi province has decided to launch a three-month safety check on an internal conference on March 31 in a wake of consecutive coal accidents in March, Official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office said that the safety check in Shanxi province would mainly focus on the legality and safety system of coalmines under construction.
Following that, the State Administration of Work Safety and the State Administration of Coal Mine Safety jointly made an emergency notice on extending the safety check from Shanxi province to nationwide.
Huang Yi, vice director of the State Administration of Work Safety estimated that the check would involve more than 7000 coalmines and 1.5-billion coal production capacity.
The official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office noted that the safety check would postpone the operation of newly built large coalmines and the production resumption of the small coalmines after the coal consolidation in the second largest coal producing province in China, but would not trigger an extensive suspension of production as in 2008, said the official.
Small coalmines in Shanxi were asked to suspend production in all-round way for rectification in 2008 due to a string of coalmine accidents, and before resuming production, they were acquired and merged by large coalmines compulsorily in accordance with Shanxi?s coal consolidation plan launched at the beginning 2009.
Senior manager with sales branch of Shanxi Coking Coal Group said that about 70-million-tonne coal production capacity of small coalmines, which have been acquired by Shanxi Coking Coal Group which produced 80.79 million tonnes of coal in 2009, is scheduled to be released at the end of 2010. But the production resumption is likely to be further postponed on current circumstance.
The senior manager predicted that coal enterprises would not blindly raise coal output and therefore the expected output growth may lower.
According analyst Liu Fei with Guodu Securities, there are about 400 million tonnes/year of coal production capacity under construction in Shanxi province.
In the first two month of 2010, nearly 10 million tonnes of newly added coal output capacity has gone into operation, but the recent coal accidents would delay the operation of other newly added output capacity.
The State Council has claimed that the safety check would involve all sectors in China. The Ministry of Railways has initiated a two-month safety check since Apr. 5, and Datong-Qinhuangdao Railway, a key coal transportation channel, has also entered a one-month maintenance, which is enormously affecting the coal supply.
Although the safety check will affect the coal output in Shanxi in short term, the province still seems quite confident in fulfilling its target of producing 670-700 million tonnes of coal in 2010 and has shown no intention to revise the target.
In 2009, coal output in Shanxi province amounted to about 620 million tonnes on shutdown of small coalmines, down 30 million tonnes on year. However, the coal consolidations in Shanxi has come to an end, which would great enhance Shanxi's output capacity, and a large amount of newly formed production capacity would enter into operation this year in spite of the three-month safety check. Therefore, coal supply from Shanxi province would remain stable or even rise in 2010.
-- Southwest drought calls for greater thermal power demand
In March, power supply shortage in Yunnan, Guizhou and Guangxi provinces exceeded 5 million kilowatts, which would have to be fed by thermal power generation.
The lasting severe drought in southwest China since the Chinese Lunar New Year in February has led to a dramatic decline in hydropower generation, which only took up 12 percent of national power supply in the first two months of 2010, down 9 percentage points on year.
Many southern China provinces with hydraulic power as main power source are facing electricity supply shortage.
According to Guizhou provincial government, Guizhou province has an electricity shortage of 3 million kilowatt hours. Water storage of reservoir in Guizhou has declined to the bottom level in history, down by 30 percent on year, which decreased the daily hydropower generation from 90 million kilowatt hours to 60 million kilowatt hours.
The situation in Yunnan province is even worse, with the electricity shortage topping 4 billion kilowatt hours. Since water resource plunged by 30-40 percent on year, less than 30 percent of total installed capacity of major hydropower stations is operational. Affected by the electricity shortage, upstream sectors like ferrous metals industry in Yunnan and Guangxi have fully or partly suspended production.
About 17.6 percent industrial enterprises in Yunnan province have been severely affected.
GF Securities forecast that the power supply shortage may push up the demand for power coal by at least 4-5 percent for the whole year of 2010.
According to statistics released by China Electricity Council (CEC) in February, power coal consumption stood at 1.56 billion tonnes in 2009, and CEC predicted that China's power coal demand would remain high in 2010 at about 1.66 billion tonnes
Chen Liang, analyst with GF Securities holds China may face a new coal supply shortage in 2010 on similar condition in 2008.
But some other experts are not as pessimistic as Chen Liang, and they believe overall coal supply would keep balance in 2010 despite of regional tight supply in the peak seasons in summer and winter. Now Henan province, one of China?s major coal production bases, becomes the biggest variable affecting the balance between coal supply and demand in China.
-- Small coalmine M&A in Henan to affect national coal supply in 2010
Henan Province announced a plan on coal enterprises merger, acquisition and reorganization in March. According to a document issued by the provincial government, major coal enterprises are expected to hold over 85 percent of total coal resources in the province at the end of 2010, but it remain unclear that how many small coalmines will be shut down.
Henan planned to control its coal output at 150 million tonnes in 2010, down 80 million tonnes from 230 million tonnes in 2009.
Under such a circumstance of tight balance, a reduction of 80 million tonnes in coal output would give a heavy blow to the marketm said Chen Liang, the GF Securities analyst.
However, market observers generally doubted about the production reduction target and they hoped that the target is a upper limit.
Chen Dangyi, vice director with Department of Industry and Information Technology of Henan province, said that although the Henan has carried out guiding opinion on the coal consolidation, but detailed plan is still being formulated. It's unpredictable how much Henan's coal output would be affected by the coal consolidation.
Small coalmines, which account for nearly one third of national coal output, are blamed for about 70 percent coal accidents in China. Therefore, China will have to make greater effort in consolidating small coalmine in a bid to reduce accidents.
Source: Xinhua
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Saturday, 10 April 10
VESSELS OPEN N. CHINA WERE SEEN FIXED AT HIGH TEENS FOR TRIP VIA INDONESIA TO INDIA - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com: The BDI indices was almost at same levels was down by only 2.6 pct.
The cape index was down by almost 13 pct, which appears to be s ...
Saturday, 10 April 10
KRISHNAPATNAM PORT GROWS BY ALMOST 100% IN ITS SECOND YEAR OF OPERATIONS
COALspot.com ( Press Release): It has been a year of setting numerous records for Krishnapatnam Port. Krishnapatnam Port is only in its second year ...
Saturday, 10 April 10
TRANS-ASIA SEEKS SEMIRARA, INDO SUPPLIERS FOR COAL POWER PLANT - MANILA STANDARD TODAY
Manila Standard Today reported that, Trans-Asia Oil & Energy Development Corp., a unit of the Phinma Group, will tap Semirara Mining Corp. ...
Thursday, 08 April 10
THE FAR EAST SHIPPING MARKET FIRMING SINCE THE LAST WEEK
Handy
Little fresh interest early this week after the holidays. The BSI saw yest ...
Thursday, 08 April 10
INDONESIAN ENERGY MINISTRY SEEKS LONGER MINING CONTRACTS - THE JAKARTAGLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, Energy Minister Darwin Zahedy Saleh said he would seek to amend the mining law to address investors’ complain ...
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
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