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Monday, 19 April 10
IS CHINA TO SUFFER NEW COAL SUPPLY SHORTAGE IN 2010? - XINHUA
Is China likely to suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010? It's a question haunting many Chinese market analysts now. After a string of several coalmine accidents in the past month, China has launched a nationwide check on coalmine safety. Meanwhile, severe drought in southwest China has directly led to a jump in thermal power demand. Theses have aroused a market concern on a possible coal supply shortage in China in 2010.
Henan province, a major coal production base in China, has stated the coal consolidations, and how many small coalmines will be shut down has become a crucial factor determining whether China will suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010.
-- Safety check to postpone production resumption of small coalmines in Shanxi
Shanxi province has decided to launch a three-month safety check on an internal conference on March 31 in a wake of consecutive coal accidents in March, Official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office said that the safety check in Shanxi province would mainly focus on the legality and safety system of coalmines under construction.
Following that, the State Administration of Work Safety and the State Administration of Coal Mine Safety jointly made an emergency notice on extending the safety check from Shanxi province to nationwide.
Huang Yi, vice director of the State Administration of Work Safety estimated that the check would involve more than 7000 coalmines and 1.5-billion coal production capacity.
The official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office noted that the safety check would postpone the operation of newly built large coalmines and the production resumption of the small coalmines after the coal consolidation in the second largest coal producing province in China, but would not trigger an extensive suspension of production as in 2008, said the official.
Small coalmines in Shanxi were asked to suspend production in all-round way for rectification in 2008 due to a string of coalmine accidents, and before resuming production, they were acquired and merged by large coalmines compulsorily in accordance with Shanxi?s coal consolidation plan launched at the beginning 2009.
Senior manager with sales branch of Shanxi Coking Coal Group said that about 70-million-tonne coal production capacity of small coalmines, which have been acquired by Shanxi Coking Coal Group which produced 80.79 million tonnes of coal in 2009, is scheduled to be released at the end of 2010. But the production resumption is likely to be further postponed on current circumstance.
The senior manager predicted that coal enterprises would not blindly raise coal output and therefore the expected output growth may lower.
According analyst Liu Fei with Guodu Securities, there are about 400 million tonnes/year of coal production capacity under construction in Shanxi province.
In the first two month of 2010, nearly 10 million tonnes of newly added coal output capacity has gone into operation, but the recent coal accidents would delay the operation of other newly added output capacity.
The State Council has claimed that the safety check would involve all sectors in China. The Ministry of Railways has initiated a two-month safety check since Apr. 5, and Datong-Qinhuangdao Railway, a key coal transportation channel, has also entered a one-month maintenance, which is enormously affecting the coal supply.
Although the safety check will affect the coal output in Shanxi in short term, the province still seems quite confident in fulfilling its target of producing 670-700 million tonnes of coal in 2010 and has shown no intention to revise the target.
In 2009, coal output in Shanxi province amounted to about 620 million tonnes on shutdown of small coalmines, down 30 million tonnes on year. However, the coal consolidations in Shanxi has come to an end, which would great enhance Shanxi's output capacity, and a large amount of newly formed production capacity would enter into operation this year in spite of the three-month safety check. Therefore, coal supply from Shanxi province would remain stable or even rise in 2010.
-- Southwest drought calls for greater thermal power demand
In March, power supply shortage in Yunnan, Guizhou and Guangxi provinces exceeded 5 million kilowatts, which would have to be fed by thermal power generation.
The lasting severe drought in southwest China since the Chinese Lunar New Year in February has led to a dramatic decline in hydropower generation, which only took up 12 percent of national power supply in the first two months of 2010, down 9 percentage points on year.
Many southern China provinces with hydraulic power as main power source are facing electricity supply shortage.
According to Guizhou provincial government, Guizhou province has an electricity shortage of 3 million kilowatt hours. Water storage of reservoir in Guizhou has declined to the bottom level in history, down by 30 percent on year, which decreased the daily hydropower generation from 90 million kilowatt hours to 60 million kilowatt hours.
The situation in Yunnan province is even worse, with the electricity shortage topping 4 billion kilowatt hours. Since water resource plunged by 30-40 percent on year, less than 30 percent of total installed capacity of major hydropower stations is operational. Affected by the electricity shortage, upstream sectors like ferrous metals industry in Yunnan and Guangxi have fully or partly suspended production.
About 17.6 percent industrial enterprises in Yunnan province have been severely affected.
GF Securities forecast that the power supply shortage may push up the demand for power coal by at least 4-5 percent for the whole year of 2010.
According to statistics released by China Electricity Council (CEC) in February, power coal consumption stood at 1.56 billion tonnes in 2009, and CEC predicted that China's power coal demand would remain high in 2010 at about 1.66 billion tonnes
Chen Liang, analyst with GF Securities holds China may face a new coal supply shortage in 2010 on similar condition in 2008.
But some other experts are not as pessimistic as Chen Liang, and they believe overall coal supply would keep balance in 2010 despite of regional tight supply in the peak seasons in summer and winter. Now Henan province, one of China?s major coal production bases, becomes the biggest variable affecting the balance between coal supply and demand in China.
-- Small coalmine M&A in Henan to affect national coal supply in 2010
Henan Province announced a plan on coal enterprises merger, acquisition and reorganization in March. According to a document issued by the provincial government, major coal enterprises are expected to hold over 85 percent of total coal resources in the province at the end of 2010, but it remain unclear that how many small coalmines will be shut down.
Henan planned to control its coal output at 150 million tonnes in 2010, down 80 million tonnes from 230 million tonnes in 2009.
Under such a circumstance of tight balance, a reduction of 80 million tonnes in coal output would give a heavy blow to the marketm said Chen Liang, the GF Securities analyst.
However, market observers generally doubted about the production reduction target and they hoped that the target is a upper limit.
Chen Dangyi, vice director with Department of Industry and Information Technology of Henan province, said that although the Henan has carried out guiding opinion on the coal consolidation, but detailed plan is still being formulated. It's unpredictable how much Henan's coal output would be affected by the coal consolidation.
Small coalmines, which account for nearly one third of national coal output, are blamed for about 70 percent coal accidents in China. Therefore, China will have to make greater effort in consolidating small coalmine in a bid to reduce accidents.
Source: Xinhua
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Sunday, 18 April 10
GOVT FORMS PANEL FOR RS 12,000-CR (US$ 2.711 BILLION) COAL INDIA IPO - ECONOMIC TIMES
Economic Times reported that, the government has formed an inter-ministerial panel to carry forward the proposed Rs 12,000-crore (US$ 2.711 billion) ...
Sunday, 18 April 10
THE FUTURES FOR THREE YEARS (2010-2012) FOR PANAMAX WAS AT AROUND US$ 21500 PER DAY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com: The BDI indices up by 3.30 pct and overall market continued to be firm except for India to Fareast.
“The cape index for the f ...
Saturday, 17 April 10
DRY BULK SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - BIMCO
Strong Chinese steel market is set to cushion the flood of new Capesize vessels entering the dry bulk fleet Demand: The first quarter of 2010 saw up ...
Saturday, 17 April 10
DRY BULK MARKET EDGES HIGHER ON STRONGER DEMAND
The dry bulk market managed to inch higher by the end of the week as brokers indicated that stronger cargo demand pushed freight rates that much hig ...
Friday, 16 April 10
KRISHNAPATNAM PORT IS IRONING ITS WAY INTO RECORD BOOKS
COALspot.com: Krishnapatnam Port achieved a new benchmark by loading 60,021 MT of Iron Ore fines in just 24 hrs surpassing its previous record of 54 ...
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- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The University of Queensland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
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