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Monday, 19 April 10
IS CHINA TO SUFFER NEW COAL SUPPLY SHORTAGE IN 2010? - XINHUA
 Is China likely to suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010? It's a question haunting many Chinese market analysts now. After a string of several coalmine accidents in the past month, China has launched a nationwide check on coalmine safety. Meanwhile, severe drought in southwest China has directly led to a jump in thermal power demand. Theses have aroused a market concern on a possible coal supply shortage in China in 2010.
Henan province, a major coal production base in China, has stated the coal consolidations, and how many small coalmines will be shut down has become a crucial factor determining whether China will suffer a new coal supply shortage in 2010.
-- Safety check to postpone production resumption of small coalmines in Shanxi
Shanxi province has decided to launch a three-month safety check on an internal conference on March 31 in a wake of consecutive coal accidents in March, Official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office said that the safety check in Shanxi province would mainly focus on the legality and safety system of coalmines under construction.
Following that, the State Administration of Work Safety and the State Administration of Coal Mine Safety jointly made an emergency notice on extending the safety check from Shanxi province to nationwide.
Huang Yi, vice director of the State Administration of Work Safety estimated that the check would involve more than 7000 coalmines and 1.5-billion coal production capacity.
The official with Shanxi Coal Industry Office noted that the safety check would postpone the operation of newly built large coalmines and the production resumption of the small coalmines after the coal consolidation in the second largest coal producing province in China, but would not trigger an extensive suspension of production as in 2008, said the official.
Small coalmines in Shanxi were asked to suspend production in all-round way for rectification in 2008 due to a string of coalmine accidents, and before resuming production, they were acquired and merged by large coalmines compulsorily in accordance with Shanxi?s coal consolidation plan launched at the beginning 2009.
Senior manager with sales branch of Shanxi Coking Coal Group said that about 70-million-tonne coal production capacity of small coalmines, which have been acquired by Shanxi Coking Coal Group which produced 80.79 million tonnes of coal in 2009, is scheduled to be released at the end of 2010. But the production resumption is likely to be further postponed on current circumstance.
The senior manager predicted that coal enterprises would not blindly raise coal output and therefore the expected output growth may lower.
According analyst Liu Fei with Guodu Securities, there are about 400 million tonnes/year of coal production capacity under construction in Shanxi province.
In the first two month of 2010, nearly 10 million tonnes of newly added coal output capacity has gone into operation, but the recent coal accidents would delay the operation of other newly added output capacity.
The State Council has claimed that the safety check would involve all sectors in China. The Ministry of Railways has initiated a two-month safety check since Apr. 5, and Datong-Qinhuangdao Railway, a key coal transportation channel, has also entered a one-month maintenance, which is enormously affecting the coal supply.
Although the safety check will affect the coal output in Shanxi in short term, the province still seems quite confident in fulfilling its target of producing 670-700 million tonnes of coal in 2010 and has shown no intention to revise the target.
In 2009, coal output in Shanxi province amounted to about 620 million tonnes on shutdown of small coalmines, down 30 million tonnes on year. However, the coal consolidations in Shanxi has come to an end, which would great enhance Shanxi's output capacity, and a large amount of newly formed production capacity would enter into operation this year in spite of the three-month safety check. Therefore, coal supply from Shanxi province would remain stable or even rise in 2010.
-- Southwest drought calls for greater thermal power demand
In March, power supply shortage in Yunnan, Guizhou and Guangxi provinces exceeded 5 million kilowatts, which would have to be fed by thermal power generation.
The lasting severe drought in southwest China since the Chinese Lunar New Year in February has led to a dramatic decline in hydropower generation, which only took up 12 percent of national power supply in the first two months of 2010, down 9 percentage points on year.
Many southern China provinces with hydraulic power as main power source are facing electricity supply shortage.
According to Guizhou provincial government, Guizhou province has an electricity shortage of 3 million kilowatt hours. Water storage of reservoir in Guizhou has declined to the bottom level in history, down by 30 percent on year, which decreased the daily hydropower generation from 90 million kilowatt hours to 60 million kilowatt hours.
The situation in Yunnan province is even worse, with the electricity shortage topping 4 billion kilowatt hours. Since water resource plunged by 30-40 percent on year, less than 30 percent of total installed capacity of major hydropower stations is operational. Affected by the electricity shortage, upstream sectors like ferrous metals industry in Yunnan and Guangxi have fully or partly suspended production.
About 17.6 percent industrial enterprises in Yunnan province have been severely affected.
GF Securities forecast that the power supply shortage may push up the demand for power coal by at least 4-5 percent for the whole year of 2010.
According to statistics released by China Electricity Council (CEC) in February, power coal consumption stood at 1.56 billion tonnes in 2009, and CEC predicted that China's power coal demand would remain high in 2010 at about 1.66 billion tonnes
Chen Liang, analyst with GF Securities holds China may face a new coal supply shortage in 2010 on similar condition in 2008.
But some other experts are not as pessimistic as Chen Liang, and they believe overall coal supply would keep balance in 2010 despite of regional tight supply in the peak seasons in summer and winter. Now Henan province, one of China?s major coal production bases, becomes the biggest variable affecting the balance between coal supply and demand in China.
-- Small coalmine M&A in Henan to affect national coal supply in 2010
Henan Province announced a plan on coal enterprises merger, acquisition and reorganization in March. According to a document issued by the provincial government, major coal enterprises are expected to hold over 85 percent of total coal resources in the province at the end of 2010, but it remain unclear that how many small coalmines will be shut down.
Henan planned to control its coal output at 150 million tonnes in 2010, down 80 million tonnes from 230 million tonnes in 2009.
Under such a circumstance of tight balance, a reduction of 80 million tonnes in coal output would give a heavy blow to the marketm said Chen Liang, the GF Securities analyst.
However, market observers generally doubted about the production reduction target and they hoped that the target is a upper limit.
Chen Dangyi, vice director with Department of Industry and Information Technology of Henan province, said that although the Henan has carried out guiding opinion on the coal consolidation, but detailed plan is still being formulated. It's unpredictable how much Henan's coal output would be affected by the coal consolidation.
Small coalmines, which account for nearly one third of national coal output, are blamed for about 70 percent coal accidents in China. Therefore, China will have to make greater effort in consolidating small coalmine in a bid to reduce accidents.
Source: Xinhua
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Tuesday, 04 May 10
APRIL 2010 COAL PRICE REFERENCE WAS US$ 86.58/T FOB VESSEL
COALspot.com: The directorate general of mineral, coal and geothermal of Indonesia has publishing a monthly coal price reference (HBA) to be used by ...
Tuesday, 04 May 10
DRY BULK MARKET SOFTENING AGAIN ON LACK OF DIRECTION
The dry bulk market has put on the brakes once again, after the last session of the Baltic Dry Index ended at 3,354 points, down 5 from the previous ...
Monday, 03 May 10
AUSTRALIA PLANS 40 PERCENT TAX ON MINING PROFITS - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, Australia would heavily tax the booming profits of its mining companies under a tax system overhaul proposed Sunday ...
Saturday, 01 May 10
THE PERIOD ACTIVITY WAS QUITE FIRM DURING THE WEEK - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com: The BDI was up by 11.32 pct which was mainly due to the firmness in capsize index which was up by 21.55 pct .
The other sectors Pan ...
Saturday, 01 May 10
EXPANDED SA COAL TERMINAL TO START OPERATIONS ON MAY 1 - MINING WEEKLY
Mining Weekly reported that, In line with expectations, the Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) had completed the R1,2-billion Phase V expansion ...
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
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