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Sunday, 28 March 10
DEMAND FROM INDIA RESHAPING THE GLOBAL COAL MARKET - DAVE FOREST
Attention international coal industry. There's a new kid on the block.
The nation of India.
India is emerging as a major re-shaping force for the global coal market. With in-country coal supplies flagging, Indian buyers are increasingly turning to imports to meet demand.
The situation at many of the nation's power plants is dire. The federal Central Electricity Authority monitors coal stockpiles at 79 plants throughout India. As of yesterday, 19 of those plants (25%) were running at "critical" levels, with less than 7 days worth of coal on hand.
In fact, 9 of those plants are operating with less than 4 days of coal supply. Meaning that 11% of national generating capacity is teetering on the edge of shutdown. These plants are completely reliant on new coal deliveries. If coal shipping is disrupted for any reason, there's no back-up.
There are a few factors at play here. Firstly, India's coal production is lagging demand. Due to fixed government pricing that makes it difficult for coal miners to turn a profit. There's simply not much economic incentive to build new mines (although the government is trying to horse-whip producers into increasing output, even at low prices.)
The other problem is that India's coal-producing regions are distant from many of the electricity demand centers, especially along the coast. Bottlenecks in rail transport make it difficult to get coal to many of the power plants that need supply most.
A clear solution seems to be emerging amongst many of India's biggest coal buyers. Go international.
Yesterday, Maharashtra State Power Generation Co. (the firm that supplies power to Mumbai, among other places) announced it will seek to import 3.35 million tons of thermal coal in the year beginning April 1.
This is a big jump in Maharashtra's foreign coal use. Up 40% from the 2.4 million tons imported in the year ended March 31.
The company's managing director Subrat Ratho made it clear this is a decision coming from the highest levels in India. As he noted, "We would like to import as little as we can because overseas coal is six-times more expensive than Indian coal. But it appears the Ministry of Power has made an assessment of how much coal the domestic companies will be able to supply to various states and have given us this target."
The decision is changing the face of coal imports across the country. India's thermal coal imports surged 100% in 2009, to 60 million tons. Up from just 30 million tons in 2008.
With India's focus now shifting to coal imports, a question is arising. Where will this international supply come from?
Nations like China and Japan have been competing hard for years to secure coal supplies in many of the world's richest regions like Indonesia and Australia. Being late to the party, India is now making its own push to capture supplies. By going forth and buying mines.
Last year, the Indian government gave explicit instructions to many of the nation's largest coal companies to buy overseas coal mines in the interest of nailing down import supply.
One such acquisition materialized this week, with major coal miner and power plant operator Essar Group announcing its purchase of the Aries coal mine in East Kalimantan, Indonesia. The project is reported to hold 100 million tons of thermal coal.
This follows on the heels of Essar's recently-announced $600 million purchase of West Virginia's Trinity Coal Corp. Signaling that Essar (and other groups like it) are moving fast to secure coal assets globally.
The coal industry is already a crowded space, with several nations competing for imports and to buy mines. The sudden addition of an aggressive and deep-pocketed buyer like India could end up being like trying to drive a bulldozer through a mousehole. Putting upward pressure on both coal trade prices and the price tag for purchasing deposits.
We saw this movie once before in 2005 when China turned from a net exporter of coal to a net importer. Prices soared and coal producers had a great run in the stock market.
India may be the only other nation on the planet with the ability to do same.
Source: OilPrice
Dave Forest, dforest@piercepoints.com, www.piercepoints.com
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Saturday, 19 December 09
THE FUTURES FOR 2010 - 2012 FIRMED UP COMPARED TO LAST WEEK AND WAS AT AROUND CAPE US$ 28,000 PER DAY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com (Singapore): The freight market continued to soften this week with major drop in the cape size index by almost 21 pct and Panamax , Sup ...
Friday, 18 December 09
CARGOTEC WINS IBJ'S BEST SHIP LOADING / UNLOADING SYSTEM AWARD WITH SIWERTELL
Cargotec’s Siwertell ship unloader has recently won International Bulk Journal’s best ship loading/unloading system award for 2009; out ...
Friday, 18 December 09
THERMAL COAL PROJECT MOVES AHEAD
A proposal for Australia's largest thermal coal project in Queensland's central west has taken a step forward.
Hancock Prospecting is proposing ...
Friday, 18 December 09
CHURCHILL MINING COMPLETES FEASIBILITY STUDY FOR EAST KUTAI COAL PROJECT
Churchill Mining Plc has announced the completion of the feasibility study for its flagship project, the 75% held East Kutai coal project in Indones ...
Friday, 18 December 09
COKING COAL SHORTAGE IN CHINA TO SPUR DEMAND FIGHT WITH JAPAN
China, the world’s largest steelmaker, faces a shortage of coking coal that may drive imports next year and spur a fight for resources with Ja ...
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- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Planning Commission, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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