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Sunday, 28 March 10
DEMAND FROM INDIA RESHAPING THE GLOBAL COAL MARKET - DAVE FOREST
Attention international coal industry. There's a new kid on the block.
The nation of India.
India is emerging as a major re-shaping force for the global coal market. With in-country coal supplies flagging, Indian buyers are increasingly turning to imports to meet demand.
The situation at many of the nation's power plants is dire. The federal Central Electricity Authority monitors coal stockpiles at 79 plants throughout India. As of yesterday, 19 of those plants (25%) were running at "critical" levels, with less than 7 days worth of coal on hand.
In fact, 9 of those plants are operating with less than 4 days of coal supply. Meaning that 11% of national generating capacity is teetering on the edge of shutdown. These plants are completely reliant on new coal deliveries. If coal shipping is disrupted for any reason, there's no back-up.
There are a few factors at play here. Firstly, India's coal production is lagging demand. Due to fixed government pricing that makes it difficult for coal miners to turn a profit. There's simply not much economic incentive to build new mines (although the government is trying to horse-whip producers into increasing output, even at low prices.)
The other problem is that India's coal-producing regions are distant from many of the electricity demand centers, especially along the coast. Bottlenecks in rail transport make it difficult to get coal to many of the power plants that need supply most.
A clear solution seems to be emerging amongst many of India's biggest coal buyers. Go international.
Yesterday, Maharashtra State Power Generation Co. (the firm that supplies power to Mumbai, among other places) announced it will seek to import 3.35 million tons of thermal coal in the year beginning April 1.
This is a big jump in Maharashtra's foreign coal use. Up 40% from the 2.4 million tons imported in the year ended March 31.
The company's managing director Subrat Ratho made it clear this is a decision coming from the highest levels in India. As he noted, "We would like to import as little as we can because overseas coal is six-times more expensive than Indian coal. But it appears the Ministry of Power has made an assessment of how much coal the domestic companies will be able to supply to various states and have given us this target."
The decision is changing the face of coal imports across the country. India's thermal coal imports surged 100% in 2009, to 60 million tons. Up from just 30 million tons in 2008.
With India's focus now shifting to coal imports, a question is arising. Where will this international supply come from?
Nations like China and Japan have been competing hard for years to secure coal supplies in many of the world's richest regions like Indonesia and Australia. Being late to the party, India is now making its own push to capture supplies. By going forth and buying mines.
Last year, the Indian government gave explicit instructions to many of the nation's largest coal companies to buy overseas coal mines in the interest of nailing down import supply.
One such acquisition materialized this week, with major coal miner and power plant operator Essar Group announcing its purchase of the Aries coal mine in East Kalimantan, Indonesia. The project is reported to hold 100 million tons of thermal coal.
This follows on the heels of Essar's recently-announced $600 million purchase of West Virginia's Trinity Coal Corp. Signaling that Essar (and other groups like it) are moving fast to secure coal assets globally.
The coal industry is already a crowded space, with several nations competing for imports and to buy mines. The sudden addition of an aggressive and deep-pocketed buyer like India could end up being like trying to drive a bulldozer through a mousehole. Putting upward pressure on both coal trade prices and the price tag for purchasing deposits.
We saw this movie once before in 2005 when China turned from a net exporter of coal to a net importer. Prices soared and coal producers had a great run in the stock market.
India may be the only other nation on the planet with the ability to do same.
Source: OilPrice
Dave Forest, dforest@piercepoints.com, www.piercepoints.com
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Wednesday, 03 February 10
RECOVERY IN INDONESIAN MINING SECTOR EXPECTED TO BOOST SALES, UNITED TRACTORS SAYS
PT United Tractors, the country’s biggest supplier of heavy equipment, said on Tuesday that it expected sales to increase 15 percent this year ...
Tuesday, 02 February 10
THAI BANPU SAYS HIGHER COSTS TO HIT COAL PROFITS
Thailand's top coal miner, expects profits from its coal business in 2010 to be lower than last year due to higher costs, but its chief executive i ...
Monday, 01 February 10
CIL PLANS TO INVEST IN OVERSEAS COAL MINES
Over the next 10 years, CIL expects to import from these mines at least 500 million tonnes of thermal coal, a variety used by power plants
The bo ...
Sunday, 31 January 10
AUSTRALIA NEWCASTLE THERMAL COAL FALLS 0.7 PERCENT TO $ 98.53
Power-station coal prices at Australia’s Newcastle port, a benchmark for Asia, declined 0.7 percent, falling for the first time in four weeks. ...
Sunday, 31 January 10
NTPC TO IMPORT COAL
NTPC Ltd plans to import coal directly, starting next fiscal.
“We plan to import 15-16 million tonnes of coal directly from next year,&rdqu ...
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Coal Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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