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Thursday, 18 March 10
THE INDIAN MARKET WAS QUIET, BUT BECAUSE OF THE TIGHT TONNAGE SITUATION STILL FIRM - FEARNLEYS AS


Handy
Activity continues to be solid in the Atlantic.

Supramax  physical  market is strong which pushed the BSI to a 17 month high at USD 29,491 on Monday. Lack of tonnage in USG pushing rates above 50,000 USD mark for Supras. Less transatlantic business though.

Outlook: Firm conditions in the Atlantic set to continue. The Far East market continued to firm. For Pacific rounds Supras trading in the high 20´s/low 30´s, for NOPAC rounds Supras can achieve in the mid/high 20´s and for Aussie Rounds around low 30´s. For Indo/India coal trips Supras have seen around low/mid 20´s. The period market was quite active, for short period Supras were fixed in the high 20´s/ low 30´s. 

The Indian market was quiet, but because of the tight tonnage situation still firm. For iron ore trips from WCI to China Supras trading in the low/mid 40´s and Supras open ECI can achieve high 30´s/low 40´s for trips to China.

Panamax
Still increased activity from ECSA contributed to further strength and firm Panamax sector, where ballasters from Fareast have fixed at 33k levels for full r/ v. Lack of tonnage made room for further strength, and front haul from the Atlantic has been fixed from the mid 40k levels even up to mid 50k level for voyage basis Cont. or Black Sea positions. Pac r/v fixed at low 30k and India to China above the very healthy 50k mark.

The period market is still active with short period levels typically in the mid 30k range for Fareast positions, above 40k for Atlantic positions and very high 20k for one year. Takers are also there still for 2 years at 22k/day. The FFA market has been moving sideways under pressure from the Cape market but holding levels with the firm physical market conditions. It seems the underlying optimism for Q2 is still around supported by the grain market, although under question with an expected reduction in the Coal market and a ratio to the Cape market in the relatively low 1.2 range.


Cape size
Last week started off with much uncertainty until Wednesday, when the market suddenly raised, mainly due to increased activity in the Fareast by RioTinto, BHP, and FMG. Highest done for Australia to PRC was USD low 14s pmt, however this week the charterers are inactive and the rates dropped to USD low 11s  pmt.

The front haul market was improving last week as well, mostly due to the overall sentiment, however number of ballasters and early ships compared to absence of early cargoes have resulted in rates decreased from low USD 30 pmt to approximately USD 26 pmt. Apparently still a lot of uncertainty also related to the ongoing price negotiations of iron ore, however there are some signs that iron ore stock piles in PRC are decreasing and more activity is expected for this spring.
Source: FearnreSEARCH



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