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Friday, 03 May 13
SHIP OWNERS ARE INVESTING HEAVILY IN DRY BULK CARRIER NEWBUILDINGS ONCE MORE: IS THERE ANY RATIONALE? - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the fact that the dry bulk market remains heavily oversupplied and just as the orderbook of newbuildings had began to shrink, it seems that ship owners have made a significant come back to shipyards, investing once more in new orders. This has been the case so far in 2013 and one could become perplexed as to why owerns are choosing this path, instead of doiong everything in their power to alleviate the tonnage supply pressures currently underway in the freight rate market?
Earlier in the year, shipbroker Intermodal had expressed the view that 2013 would be yet another challenging year, but it would also pose a good opportunity to make investments in shipping, as prices have become quite attractive. "Shortly thereafter, notwithstanding the depressed freight market, the swollen fleet, the remaining orderbook and most importantly the lack of finance, we have witnessed a rather remarkable mini-spree of new orders for dry bulk carriers", Intermodal said in its latest weekly report.
The shipbroker's newbuilding broker, Mr. Theodore Ntalakos wonders whether this new ordering is substantiated or reasonable? He answered by stating that "opponents of new ordering say that the market cannot support further new buildings and those shipowners are shooting themselves in the legs again. However, any rational individual would prefer to buy a new asset at the bottom of its market price. We always advocated that shipping is a non-cooperative game and each rational shipowner would be looking to maximize his pay-offs no matter what the others decide to do. It seems that those who have access to finance are now convinced that prices cannot and most importantly will not go further south; so they place themselves with new orders and purchases. The new ECO designs combined with the lack of modern tonnage from the second hand market are driving buyers to the shipbuilders' meeting rooms", Ntalakos said.
He added that "there were quite a few shipyards that were willing to take orders almost at cost just to safeguard the viability of their production for the next couple of years. In Japan they are also favored by the “Abenomics”, the economic policies advocated by the current Prime Minister Shinzo Abe that allows the Japanese shipbuilders to offer competitive prices and claim their market share from these new orders. All shipyards have seen the number of visitors and inquiries increasing daily, almost reminding them of the good old days. Still, there isn’t strong enough demand to push prices higher but we have noticed that shipbuilders are now bargaining harder than what they did six months or even a year ago".
According to Mr. Ntalakos, "coming back to the statistics, back in February, the Orderbook/Fleet ratio looked more favorable in the capes and Supramax sizes and this is where we have seen the majority of new orders placed. The Handies followed and then came the Panamax bulk carriers, which looked the least attractive and got the fewer orders. For the first four months of 2013 the fleet has grown, as expected, due to the vast orderbook from previous years at around 2.5% and despite the new contracts the orderbook has contracted by around 13.5%".
Intermodal's analyst finally noted that "the latest orders happened to sync with a small rally in the freight market which had almost pushed rates into profitable territories. Whether these orders were placed at the turn of the market or not only time will show but as all markets, shipping as well is strongly correlated with expectations. Things are not clear and there still is risk involved; however, to quote the American author John Shedd “a ship in harbor is safe, but that is not what ships are built for”, the newbuilding broker concluded.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Friday, 06 September 24
REBOUND IN OIL DEMAND COULD LIFT MARKET IN LATTER HALF OF 2024 - BIMCO
Supply/demand
Based on a strong second half demand, the supply/balance is forecast to strengthen in 2024 but weaken slightly in 2025 as n ...
Friday, 06 September 24
GLOBAL SEABORNE LNG TRADE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE LAST YEAR - BANCHERO COSTA
Global seaborne LNG trade has continued to increase last year, helped also by the events in Ukraine which forced Europe to diversify away from Russ ...
Wednesday, 28 August 24
SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS INTO INDIA INCREASED BY +9.9% Y-O-Y TO 146.6 MLN T - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace over the past year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels said Banchero Costa Research in its lates ...
Tuesday, 06 August 24
EXERCISE CAUTION WITH AMMONIA SWITCH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A new study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has thrown a spanner into the plan to transition ships from diesel fuel to ammonia ...
Friday, 02 August 24
ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: COAL AND NATURAL GAS PRICES REACH RECORD HIGHS - WORLD BANK
The recent surge in natural gas and coal prices has been so swift that the main benchmarks were roughly three times higher in 2022Q2 compared to a ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
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