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Tuesday, 10 July 12
DRY BULK MARKET RECORDS MODEST GAINS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market inched a bit higher on Monday, with the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) ending the session up by 5 points to 1,162. Most markets were higher, with the Panamax Index gaining the most at 1,145 points, while the Capesize one was also on a high. The only exception was the Handysize market, which retreated by four points yesterday. Still, the index is more than 30% lower than the start of the year, with capesize average spot charter earnings showing a fall of more than 80% by reaching levels of $3,988/day, from about $24,000/day at the beginning of the year. On mid June, capesize average spot earnings fell at their lowest point since December 2008, of less than $3,500/day, with panamax vessels showing softness at levels of less than $8,000/day from more than $13,000/day at the beginning of May.
In recent comments, Golden Destiny’s analysts noted that “during the first days of July, BDI continues its upward trend with capesize average spot earnings surpassing the barrier of $5,000/day and panamax earnings climbing to more than $8,000/day. Smaller vessel categories, supramax and handysize units are showing firmness at levels of more than $13,000/day and $10,000/day respectively. The positive performance of smaller vessel categories has been supported by increased movement of grains and a number of minor bulk cargoes, while the fragile Chinese iron ore and coal demand impaired the demand for capesize and panamax tonnage. Chinese demand for imported iron ore cargo posed weakness in June due to a tremendous decline in steel production and a large amount of iron ore stockpiled at Chinese ports, despite the rise of Chinese iron ore imports in the first five months of the year to around 300.1mt, up 9% year-on-year” they said.
Still, as Maria Bertzeletou noted in the latest weekly report from Golden Destiny, the prospects for the second half of the year aren’t yet promising in all for the dry bulk market. “Chinese steel production has not yet recovered, port stockpiles are elevated, above 96 million tons of iron ore and 8.7 million tons of coal, while Chinese iron ore demand is expected to show not significant strength in the coming weeks. Chinese demand for imported thermal coal is also poised to remain low on the short term, as power plant and coal stockpiles remain high and hydropower production continues to be on rise. However, peak summer electricity demand season is underway in China and a rebound in thermal coal fixture volume is likely for the second half of the year with stronger panamax earnings. Top grade iron ore price shows sings of weakness with the benchmark 62% iron ore content price falling to $135/tonne as Chinese steelmakers have reduced their purchases from declining steel production that has hit the iron ore supply chain” she said.
She also added that “despite the recent negative picture of capesize ton mille demand, there is still faith in the segment as Chinese government’s stimulus measures in the industrial sector may bring firmer iron ore demand, but it seems difficult the capesize average spot earning to surpass the levels of $10,000/day as they are struggling to perform in the current vessel’s supply figures, when in December of 2011, they were floating at levels near to $30,000/day. Under the current fundamentals, shipping players prefer to move towards the scrapping of overaged large sized vessels, capesizes and panamaxes, with secondhand investments being on the frontline as more preferable type of investment than the construction of new units.
Secondhand asset prices have plunged from the first half of 2011, especially in the large sized vessel segments, capesize and panamax, with the BDI triggering further falls during the second half of the year. According to the Baltic Exchange’s Sale and Purchase Assessments, the value of a 5yrs old capesize of 172,000dwt has dropped to about $33,4mil from $42,9 at the end of June 2011, while at end of June 2008 was more than $153mil. In the panamax market, the value of a 5yrs old vessel of 74,000dwt is now at near $23mil, from $30,8 at the end of June 2011, while at the end of June 2008 was more than $88mil. In the supramax segment, the value of 5yrs old vessel of 52,000dwt is now in the region of $22mil from $27,5mil at the end of June 2011, while at the end of June 2008 was at more than $75mil” she concluded.
Still, for the time being Capesizes are currently earning $7,904/day, an increase of $3,916/day from a week ago, while panamaxes are earning $9,002/day, an increase of $1,167/day. At similar week in 2011, capesizes were earning $13,995/day, while panamaxes were earning $13,471/day. Supramaxes are trading at $13,556/day, up by $411day from last week’s closing, 72% and 51% higher than capesize and panamax earnings respectively. At similar week in 2011, supramaxes were getting $13,443/day, hovering at 3.9% lower levels than capesizes versus 72% today’s higher levels. Handysizes are trading at $ 10,309/day; down $105/day from last week, when at similar week in 2011 were earning $10,422/day.
Source: Nikos Roussanoglou, Hellenic Shipping News
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Thursday, 25 January 24
THE RED SEA ESCALATION IMPLICATIONS ON GLOBAL SEABORNE TRADE - MARIA BERTZELETOU
In recent days, discussions have intensified about the potential impact on the seaborne trade and ton-miles due to the evolving dynamics of market ...
Thursday, 25 January 24
RED SEA SHIPPING DISRUPTIONS KEEP GEOPOLITICAL PREMIUM FOR COMMODITIES - FITCH RATINGS
Shipping disruptions and re-routing away from the Red Sea will maintain the geopolitical premium in the main commodity markets, including for oil a ...
Friday, 19 January 24
INDONESIA TARGETS 710 MLN METRIC TONS COAL OUTPUT IN 2024 AFTER RECORD 2023 - REUTERS
Indonesia, a major thermal coal exporter, aims to produce 710 million metric tons of coal in 2024, its mining minister said on Monday, after postin ...
Friday, 19 January 24
DRUMMOND COLOMBIA COAL OUTPUT ROSE 7.1% IN 2023 - REUTERS
Coal production from miner Drummond’s Colombia operations rose 7.1% in 2023 to 29.5 million metric tons, while exports declined by 2.6% to 27 ...
Friday, 19 January 24
CHINA'S 2023 COAL OUTPUT HITS RECORD HIGH - REUTERS
China’s coal output reached a record high in 2023, data from the statistics bureau showed on Wednesday, amid an ongoing focus on energy secur ...
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
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